HGMCF (Harmony Gold Mining Co) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

HGMCF Harmony Gold Mining Co Ltd HGMCF
93 GF Score
Price $17.45
GF Value $17.61
Valuation Fairly Valued
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What is Harmony Gold Mining Co Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Harmony Gold Mining Co is: Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding.

Harmony Gold Mining Co  (OTCPK:HGMCF) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Harmony Gold Mining Co Risk Assessment Related Terms

HGMCF vs NEM, AU, RGLD: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Gold subindustry, Harmony Gold Mining Co's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Harmony Gold Mining Co Risk Assessment vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Harmony Gold Mining Co's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Harmony Gold Mining Co's Risk Assessment falls into.


HGMCF
93GF Score
Harmony Gold Mining Co Ltd HGMCF
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is Harmony Gold Mining Co (HGMCF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Harmony Gold Mining Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $17.45 is trading 0.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of $17.61. GuruFocus considers Harmony Gold Mining Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for HGMCF:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: $17.61 vs. price of $17.45 (0.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 93/100

No single metric tells the full story. See the HGMCF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Harmony Gold Mining Co Business Description

Address Corner Main Reef Road and Ward Avenue, Randfontein Office Park, Randfontein, ZAF, 1759
Harmony Gold Mining Co Ltd is engaged in gold mining and related activities, including exploration, extraction, and processing. The group's primary product is gold bullion, produced at operations in South Africa and Papua New Guinea. Gold byproducts include uranium and silver. Strategic projects such as the Wafi-Golpu Project in the New Guinea Mobile Belt, the Eva Copper Project in the Mt Isa Inlier, Queensland, Australia, and the MAC Copper acquisition position the company as a gold-copper producer. The company operates across South Africa, Papua New Guinea, and Australia.
93GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HGMCF

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$17.45
Price
$17.61
GF Value