HGMCF (Harmony Gold Mining Co) Altman Z2-Score: 5.01 (As of Jun. 30, 2026) — 95% Above Median


HGMCF Harmony Gold Mining Co Ltd HGMCF
92 GF Score
Price $17.45
GF Value $19.90
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
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What is Harmony Gold Mining Co Altman Z2-Score?

Harmony Gold Mining Co HGMCF 92 Altman Z2-Score is 5.01 as of Jun. 30, 2026, which is 95% above its 10-year median of 2.57. GuruFocus rates HGMCF with a GF Score™ of 92/100 and a GF Value™ of $19.90 (Modestly Undervalued). Among 2,614 Metals & Mining companies, Harmony Gold Mining Co ranks better than 62.09% on this metric.

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Good Sign:

Harmony Gold Mining Co has a Altman Z2-Score of 5.01, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Harmony Gold Mining Co's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HGMCF' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.45   Med: 2.57   Max: 5.01
Current: 5.01

During the past 13 years, Harmony Gold Mining Co's highest Altman Z2-Score was 5.01. The lowest was 0.45. And the median was 2.57.


Harmony Gold Mining Co  (OTCPK:HGMCF) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Harmony Gold Mining Co Altman Z2-Score Related Terms


Harmony Gold Mining Co Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Harmony Gold Mining Co's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Harmony Gold Mining Co Altman Z2-Score Chart

Harmony Gold Mining Co Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.69 1.52 2.45 4.16 5.01

Harmony Gold Mining Co Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 4.16 0.00 5.01 0.00

HGMCF vs NEM, AU, RGLD: Altman Z2-Score Comparison

For the Gold subindustry, Harmony Gold Mining Co's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Harmony Gold Mining Co Altman Z2-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Harmony Gold Mining Co's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Harmony Gold Mining Co's Altman Z2-Score falls into.


HGMCF
92GF Score
Harmony Gold Mining Co Ltd HGMCF
Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Harmony Gold Mining Co Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Harmony Gold Mining Co's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.1151+3.26*0.1882+6.72*0.2826+1.05*1.6638
=5.01

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2025:
Total Assets was $4,349 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,196 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $695 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $818 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was $1,190 Mil.
Interest Expense was $-39 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,627 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1195.636 - 695.182)/4349.263
=0.1151

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=818.415/4349.263
=0.1882

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(1190.025 - -39.17)/4349.263
=0.2826

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(2706.821 - 0)/1626.898
=1.6638

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Harmony Gold Mining Co has a Altman Z2-Score of 5.01 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z2-Score →
What does a Altman Z2-Score of 5.01 mean?
Harmony Gold Mining Co (HGMCF) has a Altman Z2-Score of 5.01 as of Jun. 30, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Harmony Gold Mining Co and its competitors. This is 95% above median its historical median of 2.57. Over the past decade, Harmony Gold Mining Co's Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 0.45 to 5.01. According to the industry distribution chart, Harmony Gold Mining Co ranks #991 out of 2614 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 37.9%.
Is Harmony Gold Mining Co's Altman Z2-Score too high?
Harmony Gold Mining Co's current Altman Z2-Score of 5.01 is 95% above median its 10-year median of 2.57. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.45 to a high of 5.01. The Metals & Mining industry median Altman Z2-Score is 2.16. Harmony Gold Mining Co's value of 5.01 is 132.5% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Harmony Gold Mining Co ranks #991 out of 2614 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Harmony Gold Mining Co has a GF Score™ of 92/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Harmony Gold Mining Co's Altman Z2-Score compare to NEM and AU?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Harmony Gold Mining Co ranks #991 out of 2614 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This puts Harmony Gold Mining Co in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 2.16. Harmony Gold Mining Co's value of 5.01 is 132.5% above this benchmark. Historically, Harmony Gold Mining Co's own Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 0.45 to 5.01 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.57 vs. the industry median of 2.16, Harmony Gold Mining Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Metals & Mining companies is 2.16, based on 2,614 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Harmony Gold Mining Co's current Altman Z2-Score of 5.01 is 132.5% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Harmony Gold Mining Co and its competitors. For the Metals & Mining industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 2.16 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Harmony Gold Mining Co's current Altman Z2-Score is 5.01, which is 95% above median its own 10-year median of 2.57. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Harmony Gold Mining Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Harmony Gold Mining Co (HGMCF) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $19.90, compared to a current price of $17.45 — trading 12.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is 5.01, which is 95% above median its 10-year median of 2.57 and 132.5% above the Metals & Mining industry median of 2.16. Harmony Gold Mining Co's overall GF Score™ is 92/100. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Harmony Gold Mining Co (HGMCF), the current Altman Z2-Score is 5.01 as of Jun. 30, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Harmony Gold Mining Co (HGMCF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Harmony Gold Mining Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $17.45 is trading 12.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of $19.90. GuruFocus considers Harmony Gold Mining Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for HGMCF:

  • Altman Z2-Score: 5.01 (95% above median its 10-year median of 2.57)
  • GF Value™: $19.90 vs. price of $17.45 (12.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 92/100
  • Industry Position: 132.5% above the Metals & Mining median (#991 of 2614)

No single metric tells the full story. See the HGMCF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Harmony Gold Mining Co Business Description

Address Corner Main Reef Road and Ward Avenue, Randfontein Office Park, Randfontein, ZAF, 1759
Harmony Gold Mining Co Ltd is engaged in gold mining and related activities, including exploration, extraction, and processing. The group's primary product is gold bullion, produced at operations in South Africa and Papua New Guinea. Gold byproducts include uranium and silver. Strategic projects such as the Wafi-Golpu Project in the New Guinea Mobile Belt, the Eva Copper Project in the Mt Isa Inlier, Queensland, Australia, and the MAC Copper acquisition position the company as a gold-copper producer. The company operates across South Africa, Papua New Guinea, and Australia.
92GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HGMCF

Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$17.45
Price
$19.90
GF Value