Ocado Group (LSE:OCDO) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

LSE:OCDO Ocado Group PLC LSE:OCDO
48 GF Score
Price £1.87
GF Value £4.03
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Ocado Group Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Ocado Group is: High Risk: High uncertainty.


Ocado Group  (LSE:OCDO) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.


Ocado Group Risk Assessment Related Terms


LSE:OCDO vs KR, SFM: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Ocado Group's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ocado Group Risk Assessment vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Ocado Group's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ocado Group's Risk Assessment falls into.


LSE:OCDO
48GF Score
Ocado Group PLC LSE:OCDO
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is Ocado Group (LSE:OCDO) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ocado Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of £1.87 is trading 53.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of £4.03. GuruFocus considers Ocado Group to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for LSE:OCDO:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: £4.03 vs. price of £1.87 (53.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 48/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the LSE:OCDO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ocado Group Business Description

Address Mosquito Way, Buildings One and Two Trident Place, Hatfield Business Park, Hatfield, Hertfordshire, GBR, AL10 9UL
Founded in 2000, Ocado provides automation and logistics solutions to grocers. Ocado operates in two segments: logistics and solutions. Logistics provides fulfillment and delivery services in the United Kingdom. Solutions is based on the Ocado Smart Platform, a modular, automated online retail fulfillment and delivery solution that provides software, fulfillment hardware, and support services to corporate customers in return for upfront and recurring fees. Partners include leading grocers around the world, like Sobeys, Morrisons, ICA, Groupe Casino, Bon Preu, Kroger, and Coles. Ocado also has a 50% stake in Ocado Retail, a pure-play e-grocery business. The other 50% is owned by Marks & Spencer.
48GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LSE:OCDO

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

£1.87
Price
£4.03
GF Value