NDGPF (Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

NDGPF Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Ltd NDGPF
47 GF Score
Price $0.90
GF Value $0.62
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) is: High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff.

Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)  (OTCPK:NDGPF) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Risk Assessment Related Terms

Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Risk Assessment Competitor Comparison

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)'s Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Risk Assessment vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)'s Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)'s Risk Assessment falls into.


NDGPF
47GF Score
Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Ltd NDGPF
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) (NDGPF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $0.90 is trading 45.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of $0.62. GuruFocus considers Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for NDGPF:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: $0.62 vs. price of $0.90 (45.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 47/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NDGPF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Business Description

Other Exchanges NDGPY:USA02689:Hong Kong
Address No.12, Xincheng Road, Songshan Lake High-Tech Industrial Development Zone, Guangdong Province, Dongguan, CHN
Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Ltd operates as a paper products manufacturer. The company is a pulp and paper manufacturing group specializing in the integrated production of pulp and paper, with main products including various kinds of environmentally friendly packaging paper, printing and writing paper, high-end virgin paper, and products from the entire upstream and downstream production chain. Covering the full industry spectrum, it offers kraftlinerboard, testlinerboard, white top linerboard, coated linerboard, bleached folding boxboard, high-performance corrugating medium, coated duplex board, gypsum board cover paper, and more.
47GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NDGPF

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$0.90
Price
$0.62
GF Value