NDGPF (Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)) Altman Z2-Score: 1.66 (As of Jun. 29, 2026) — 35% Below Median


NDGPF Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Ltd NDGPF
49 GF Score
Price $0.90
GF Value $0.71
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Altman Z2-Score?

Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) NDGPF 49 Altman Z2-Score is 1.66 as of Jun. 29, 2026, which is 35% below its 10-year median of 2.55. GuruFocus rates NDGPF with a GF Score™ of 49/100 and a GF Value™ of $0.71 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 282 Forest Products companies, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) ranks worse than 65.6% on this metric.

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) has a Altman Z2-Score of 1.66, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.1, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)'s Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NDGPF' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.59   Med: 2.55   Max: 3.36
Current: 1.66

During the past 13 years, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)'s highest Altman Z2-Score was 3.36. The lowest was 1.59. And the median was 2.55.


Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)  (OTCPK:NDGPF) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Altman Z2-Score Related Terms


Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)'s Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Altman Z2-Score Chart

Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.36 3.16 1.59 1.80 1.66

Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 1.80 0.00 1.66 0.00

Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Altman Z2-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)'s Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Altman Z2-Score vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)'s Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)'s Altman Z2-Score falls into.


NDGPF
49GF Score
Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Ltd NDGPF
Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)'s Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.0157+3.26*0.2563+6.72*0.028+1.05*0.509
=1.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2025:
Total Assets was $20,756 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,849 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4,522 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $5,320 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was $346 Mil.
Interest Expense was $-235 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $13,708 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(4848.642 - 4521.86)/20756.249
=0.0157

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=5319.885/20756.249
=0.2563

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(346.022 - -235.027)/20756.249
=0.028

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(6977.741 - 0)/13707.672
=0.509

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) has a Altman Z2-Score of 1.66 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z2-Score →
What does a Altman Z2-Score of 1.66 mean?
Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) (NDGPF) has a Altman Z2-Score of 1.66 as of Jun. 29, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) and its competitors. This is 35% below median its historical median of 2.55. Over the past decade, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)'s Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 1.59 to 3.36. According to the industry distribution chart, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) ranks #185 out of 282 companies in the Forest Products industry, placing it in the top 65.6%.
Is Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)'s Altman Z2-Score too high?
Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)'s current Altman Z2-Score of 1.66 is 35% below median its 10-year median of 2.55. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.59 to a high of 3.36. The Forest Products industry median Altman Z2-Score is 2.61. Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)'s value of 1.66 is 36.4% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) ranks #185 out of 282 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) has a GF Score™ of 49/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)'s Altman Z2-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) ranks #185 out of 282 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This places Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 2.61. Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)'s value of 1.66 is 36.4% below this benchmark. Historically, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)'s own Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 1.59 to 3.36 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.55 vs. the industry median of 2.61, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for a Forest Products company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Forest Products companies is 2.61, based on 282 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)'s current Altman Z2-Score of 1.66 is 36.4% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) and its competitors. For the Forest Products industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 2.61 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)'s current Altman Z2-Score is 1.66, which is 35% below median its own 10-year median of 2.55. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) (NDGPF) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $0.71, compared to a current price of $0.90 — trading 26.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is 1.66, which is 35% below median its 10-year median of 2.55 and 36.4% below the Forest Products industry median of 2.61. Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)'s overall GF Score™ is 49/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) (NDGPF), the current Altman Z2-Score is 1.66 as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) (NDGPF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $0.90 is trading 26.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of $0.71. GuruFocus considers Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for NDGPF:

  • Altman Z2-Score: 1.66 (35% below median its 10-year median of 2.55)
  • GF Value™: $0.71 vs. price of $0.90 (26.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 49/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 36.4% below the Forest Products median (#185 of 282)

No single metric tells the full story. See the NDGPF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Business Description

Other Exchanges NDGPY:USA02689:Hong Kong
Address No.12, Xincheng Road, Songshan Lake High-Tech Industrial Development Zone, Guangdong Province, Dongguan, CHN
Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Ltd operates as a paper products manufacturer. The company is a pulp and paper manufacturing group specializing in the integrated production of pulp and paper, with main products including various kinds of environmentally friendly packaging paper, printing and writing paper, high-end virgin paper, and products from the entire upstream and downstream production chain. Covering the full industry spectrum, it offers kraftlinerboard, testlinerboard, white top linerboard, coated linerboard, bleached folding boxboard, high-performance corrugating medium, coated duplex board, gypsum board cover paper, and more.
49GF Score

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Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$0.90
Price
$0.71
GF Value