ExxonMobil Holdings (XSWX:XOM) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

XSWX:XOM ExxonMobil Holdings Corp XSWX:XOM
65 GF Score
Price CHF118.62
GF Value CHF94.49
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is ExxonMobil Holdings Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of ExxonMobil Holdings is: Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock.

ExxonMobil Holdings  (XSWX:XOM) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

ExxonMobil Holdings Risk Assessment Related Terms

XSWX:XOM vs CVX, NFG, DEC: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Integrated subindustry, ExxonMobil Holdings's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

ExxonMobil Holdings Risk Assessment vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, ExxonMobil Holdings's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ExxonMobil Holdings's Risk Assessment falls into.


XSWX:XOM
65GF Score
ExxonMobil Holdings Corp XSWX:XOM
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is ExxonMobil Holdings (XSWX:XOM) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ExxonMobil Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CHF118.62 is trading 25.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF94.49. GuruFocus considers ExxonMobil Holdings to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:XOM:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: CHF94.49 vs. price of CHF118.62 (25.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 65/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:XOM stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

ExxonMobil Holdings Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address 22777 Springwoods Village Parkway, Spring, TX, USA, 77389-1425
ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2025, reserves were 19.3 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.1 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.
65GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:XOM

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF118.62
Price
CHF94.49
GF Value