Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index, it shows how the price swings around its mean. The volatility here is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. In most cases, the higher the volatility, the riskier the security.
As of today (2026-06-26), Nampak's Volatility is 21.73%.
Nampak (JSE:NPK) Volatility Explanation
Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index. It’s often measured as standard deviation or variance of historical returns over a certain period. The volatility here is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year.
Volatility reflects the uncertainty or risk of a security’s value. Generally speaking, a higher volatility suggests a higher risk, because it implies a wider fluctuation around average price. This means the price of the security can change dramatically in either direction within a short period. Conversely, a lower volatility means that the security's price is more steady, which suggests a lower risk.
Another measurement of relative volatility is Beta. Beta is a measure of systematic risk of a security or a portfolio in comparison to the market as a whole. Beta is usually compared to 1. A beta of greater than 1 indicates that the security's price will be more volatile than the market.
Nampak Volatility Related Terms
JSE:NPK vs SW, PKG, AMCR: Volatility Comparison
For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Nampak's Volatility, along with its competitors' market caps and Volatility data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Nampak Volatility vs Packaging & Containers Industry
For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Nampak's Volatility distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Nampak's Volatility falls into.
The annualized volatility is calculated as following:
σA
=
σM
*
√12
=
√ 1/(n-1) ∑(Ri - R')^2
*
√12
Where: σM is the monthly volatility, n is the number of months in the period, Ri is the security's historical monthly returns and R' is the arithmetic mean of monthly returns.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Nampak (JSE:NPK) has a Volatility of 21.73% as of Jun. 26, 2026. Volatility is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. View historical data on Nampak and its competitors.
Is Nampak's Volatility too high?
Nampak's current Volatility is 21.73%. Overall, Nampak has a GF Score™ of 56/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Nampak's Volatility compare to SW and PKG?
Nampak's Volatility of 21.73% can be compared against companies in the Packaging & Containers industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Volatility for a Packaging & Containers company?
A good Volatility depends on the Packaging & Containers industry context. However, Volatility should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Volatility mean?
A high Volatility can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Volatility is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. View historical data on Nampak and its competitors. Nampak's current Volatility is 21.73%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Nampak stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nampak (JSE:NPK) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is R471.12, compared to a current price of R440.00 — trading 6.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Volatility is 21.73%. Nampak's overall GF Score™ is 56/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Volatility calculated?
Volatility is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Nampak (JSE:NPK), the current Volatility is 21.73% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Nampak (JSE:NPK) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nampak stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of R440.00 is trading 6.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of R471.12.
GuruFocus considers Nampak to be Fairly Valued.
Key valuation signals for JSE:NPK:
Volatility: 21.73%
GF Value™: R471.12 vs. price of R440.00 (6.6% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:NPK stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Nampak Ltd is a metals packaging company in South Africa and Angola, and also has substantial positions in other metal packaging. It is the producer of two-piece tinplate cans and aluminium monobloc aerosol cans. The company's operating segments include Metals, which involves the manufacture of beverage cans, food cans, aerosol cans, and other metal packaging, and Corporate, which provides for head office activities, treasury, property services, and consolidation adjustments, including goodwill. The majority of revenue comes from the Metals segment and from South Africa.
56GF Score
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