GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Education » Aspen Group Inc (OTCPK:ASPU) » Definitions » Altman Z2-Score

Aspen Group (Aspen Group) Altman Z2-Score : -2.10 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2010. Start your Free Trial

What is Aspen Group Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Aspen Group has a Altman Z2-Score of -2.10, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aspen Group's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:


Aspen Group Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aspen Group's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Aspen Group Altman Z2-Score Chart

Aspen Group Annual Data
Trend Feb12 Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.52 -0.66 1.34 -0.11 -0.50

Aspen Group Quarterly Data
Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.50 -0.50 -1.29 -1.71 -2.10

Competitive Comparison of Aspen Group's Altman Z2-Score

For the Education & Training Services subindustry, Aspen Group's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aspen Group's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Education Industry

For the Education industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Aspen Group's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aspen Group's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Aspen Group Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Aspen Group's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.0791+3.26*-0.8574+6.72*-0.0816+1.05*0.6924
=-2.10

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2023:
Total Assets was $87.84 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $31.02 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $24.07 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-75.31 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -1.518 + -2.247 + -3.685 + -2.09 = $-9.54 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.717 + -0.71 + -0.581 + -0.365 = $-2.37 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $51.90 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(31.021 - 24.071)/87.835
=0.0791

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-75.307/87.835
=-0.8574

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-9.54 - -2.373)/87.835
=-0.0816

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(35.936 - 0)/51.898
=0.6924

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Aspen Group has a Altman Z2-Score of -2.10 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Aspen Group  (OTCPK:ASPU) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Aspen Group Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Aspen Group's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Aspen Group (Aspen Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
276 Fifth Avenue, Suite 505, New York, NY, USA, 10001
Aspen Group Inc is an education technology holding company that leverages its infrastructure and expertise to allow its two universities, Aspen University and United States University, to deliver on the vision of making college affordable again. Its only segment is the educational delivery operation using a core infrastructure that serves the curriculum and educational delivery needs of its online and campus students regardless of geography.
Executives
Michael L Koehneman director 276 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 505, NEW YORK NY 10001
Douglas Kass director C/O EMPIRE RESOURCES, INC., ONE PARKER PLAZA, FORT LEE NJ 07024
Matthew Lavay officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ELLIE MAE, INC., 4420 ROSEWOOD DRIVE, 5TH FL, PLEASANTON CA 94588
Cheri St. Arnauld officer: Chief Academic Officer 720 SOUTH COLORADO BOULEVARD, SUITE 1150N, DENVER CO 80246
Michael Mathews director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 257 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, SUITE 602, NEW YORK NY 10010
Robert Alessi officer: Chief Accounting Officer 276 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 505, NEW YORK NY 10001
Joan Marie Prince director 276 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 505, NEW YORK NY 10001
Gerard Wendolowski officer: Chief Operating Officer 720 SOUTH COLORADO BOULEVARD, SUITE 1150N, DENVER CO 80246
C James Jensen director C/O ASPEN GROUP, INC., 276 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 505, NEW YORK NY 10001
Frank J Cotroneo director 4400 MAIN ST, KANSAS CITY MO 64111
Anne M Mcnamara officer: Chief Nursing Officer 276 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 505, NEW YORK NY 10001
Sanford Rich director 26 BEACH DRIVE, DARIEN CT 06820
Maclean Malcolm F Iv director C/O ASPEN GROUP, INC., 1660 SOUTH ALBION STREET, SUITE 525, DENVER CO 80222
Joseph L. Sevely officer: Chief Financial Officer 276 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 306, NEW YORK NY 10001
Janet Gill officer: Executive Vice President 720 SOUTH COLORADO BOULEVARD, SUITE 1150N, DENVER CO 80246

Aspen Group (Aspen Group) Headlines