San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong (HKSE:00236) Altman Z2-Score: 10.61 (As of Aug. 23, 2026) — 121% Above Median

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HKSE:00236 San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Ltd HKSE:00236
51 GF Score
Price HK$1.09
GF Value HK$0.91
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Altman Z2-Score?

San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong HKSE:00236 -0.91% 51 Altman Z2-Score is 10.61 as of Aug. 23, 2026, which is 121% above its 10-year median of 4.81. GuruFocus rates HKSE:00236 with a GF Score™ of 51/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$0.91 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 190 Beverages - Alcoholic companies, San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong ranks better than 88.95% on this metric.

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Good Sign:

San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong has a Altman Z2-Score of 10.61, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00236' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.65   Med: 4.81   Max: 10.61
Current: 10.61

During the past 13 years, San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong's highest Altman Z2-Score was 10.61. The lowest was 2.65. And the median was 4.81.


San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong  (HKSE:00236) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Altman Z2-Score Related Terms


San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Altman Z2-Score Chart

San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.46 7.56 8.81 8.63 10.61

San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 8.63 0.00 10.61 0.00

HKSE:00236 vs STZ: Altman Z2-Score Comparison

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Altman Z2-Score vs Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong's Altman Z2-Score falls into.


HKSE:00236
51GF Score
San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Ltd HKSE:00236
Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.3908+3.26*0.3439+6.72*0.1181+1.05*5.8359
=10.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2025:
Total Assets was HK$819.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$408.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$88.5 Mil.
Retained Earnings was HK$281.8 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was HK$96.6 Mil.
Interest Expense was HK$-0.2 Mil.
Total Liabilities was HK$122.9 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(408.721 - 88.508)/819.47
=0.3908

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=281.789/819.47
=0.3439

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(96.553 - -0.232)/819.47
=0.1181

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(717.292 - 0)/122.911
=5.8359

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong has a Altman Z2-Score of 10.61 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z2-Score →
What does a Altman Z2-Score of 10.61 mean?
San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong (HKSE:00236) has a Altman Z2-Score of 10.61 as of Aug. 23, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong and its competitors. This is 121% above median its historical median of 4.81. Over the past decade, San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong's Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 2.65 to 10.61. According to the industry distribution chart, San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong ranks #21 out of 190 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 11.1%.
Is San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong's Altman Z2-Score too high?
San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong's current Altman Z2-Score of 10.61 is 121% above median its 10-year median of 4.81. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.65 to a high of 10.61. The Beverages - Alcoholic industry median Altman Z2-Score is 3.80. San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong's value of 10.61 is 179.2% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong ranks #21 out of 190 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong has a GF Score™ of 51/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong's Altman Z2-Score compare to STZ?
According to the Beverages - Alcoholic industry distribution chart, San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong ranks #21 out of 190 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This places San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong in the top 11% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 3.80. San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong's value of 10.61 is 179.2% above this benchmark. Historically, San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong's own Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 2.65 to 10.61 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 4.81 vs. the industry median of 3.80, San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for a Beverages - Alcoholic company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Beverages - Alcoholic companies is 3.80, based on 190 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong's current Altman Z2-Score of 10.61 is 179.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong and its competitors. For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 3.80 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong's current Altman Z2-Score is 10.61, which is 121% above median its own 10-year median of 4.81. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong (HKSE:00236) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$0.91, compared to a current price of HK$1.09 — trading 19.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is 10.61, which is 121% above median its 10-year median of 4.81 and 179.2% above the Beverages - Alcoholic industry median of 3.80. San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong's overall GF Score™ is 51/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong (HKSE:00236), the current Altman Z2-Score is 10.61 as of Aug. 23, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong (HKSE:00236) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of HK$1.09 is trading 19.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of HK$0.91. GuruFocus considers San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:00236:

  • Altman Z2-Score: 10.61 (121% above median its 10-year median of 4.81)
  • GF Value™: HK$0.91 vs. price of HK$1.09 (19.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 51/100 with 1 warning sign
  • Industry Position: 179.2% above the Beverages - Alcoholic median (#21 of 190)

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:00236 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Business Description

Address 28 Yuen Shun Circuit, Citimark Building, 9th Floor, Siu Lek Yuen, Shatin, New Territories, Hong Kong, HKG
San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Ltd is engaged in the manufacturing and distribution of bottled, canned, and draught beers. Its two reportable segments are: The Hong Kong operations comprise the manufacture and distribution of own brewed beer products and the distribution of imported beer products in Hong Kong and overseas; and The Mainland China operations comprise the manufacture and distribution of own-brewed beer products in the southern part of the People's Republic of China and overseas. It derives the majority of its revenue from Hong Kong.
51GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:00236

Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$1.09
Price
HK$0.91
GF Value