Marston's (LSE:MARS) Altman Z2-Score: 0.66 (As of Jun. 28, 2026) — 57% Above Median


LSE:MARS Marston's PLC LSE:MARS
52 GF Score
Price £0.50
GF Value £0.39
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Marston's Altman Z2-Score?

Marston's LSE:MARS -1.57% 52 Altman Z2-Score is 0.66 as of Jun. 28, 2026, which is 57% above its 10-year median of 0.42. GuruFocus rates LSE:MARS with a GF Score™ of 52/100 and a GF Value™ of £0.39 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 360 Restaurants companies, Marston's ranks worse than 59.44% on this metric.

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Marston's has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.66, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Marston's's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:MARS' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1.17   Med: 0.42   Max: 0.71
Current: 0.66

During the past 13 years, Marston's's highest Altman Z2-Score was 0.71. The lowest was -1.17. And the median was 0.42.


Marston's  (LSE:MARS) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Marston's Altman Z2-Score Related Terms


Marston's Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Marston's's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Marston's Altman Z2-Score Chart

Marston's Annual Data
Trend Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.69 0.56 0.12 0.33 0.66

Marston's Semi-Annual Data
Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.33 0.00 0.66 0.00

LSE:MARS vs MCD, SBUX, CMG: Altman Z2-Score Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Marston's's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Marston's Altman Z2-Score vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Marston's's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Marston's's Altman Z2-Score falls into.


LSE:MARS
52GF Score
Marston's PLC LSE:MARS
Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Marston's Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Marston's's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*-0.074+3.26*0.0249+6.72*0.077+1.05*0.5183
=0.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2025:
Total Assets was £2,316.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £77.3 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £248.8 Mil.
Retained Earnings was £57.6 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was £88.3 Mil.
Interest Expense was £-90.0 Mil.
Total Liabilities was £1,525.6 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(77.3 - 248.8)/2316.3
=-0.074

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=57.6/2316.3
=0.0249

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(88.3 - -90)/2316.3
=0.077

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(790.7 - 0)/1525.6
=0.5183

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Marston's has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.66 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z2-Score →
What does a Altman Z2-Score of 0.66 mean?
Marston's (LSE:MARS) has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.66 as of Jun. 28, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Marston's and its competitors. This is 57% above median its historical median of 0.42. According to the industry distribution chart, Marston's ranks #214 out of 360 companies in the Restaurants industry, placing it in the top 59.4%.
Is Marston's' Altman Z2-Score too high?
Marston's' current Altman Z2-Score of 0.66 is 57% above median its 10-year median of 0.42. The Restaurants industry median Altman Z2-Score is 1.29. Marston's' value of 0.66 is 48.6% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Marston's ranks #214 out of 360 companies in the Restaurants industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Marston's has a GF Score™ of 52/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Marston's' Altman Z2-Score compare to MCD and SBUX?
According to the Restaurants industry distribution chart, Marston's ranks #214 out of 360 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This places Marston's in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 1.29. Marston's' value of 0.66 is 48.6% below this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 0.42 vs. the industry median of 1.29, Marston's has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for a Restaurants company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Restaurants companies is 1.29, based on 360 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Marston's's current Altman Z2-Score of 0.66 is 48.6% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Marston's and its competitors. For the Restaurants industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 1.29 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Marston's's current Altman Z2-Score is 0.66, which is 57% above median its own 10-year median of 0.42. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Marston's stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Marston's (LSE:MARS) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is £0.39, compared to a current price of £0.50 — trading 28.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is 0.66, which is 57% above median its 10-year median of 0.42 and 48.6% below the Restaurants industry median of 1.29. Marston's' overall GF Score™ is 52/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Marston's (LSE:MARS), the current Altman Z2-Score is 0.66 as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Marston's (LSE:MARS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Marston's stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of £0.50 is trading 28.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of £0.39. GuruFocus considers Marston's to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for LSE:MARS:

  • Altman Z2-Score: 0.66 (57% above median its 10-year median of 0.42)
  • GF Value™: £0.39 vs. price of £0.50 (28.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 52/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 48.6% below the Restaurants median (#214 of 360)

No single metric tells the full story. See the LSE:MARS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Marston's Business Description

Other Exchanges MARZF:USAMARSl:UK
Address Saint Johns Square, Saint Johns House, Wolverhampton, GBR, WV1 4JT
Marston's PLC is a beer brewer and pub operator. It operates more than 1,500 pubs across the United Kingdom under brand names including Marston's Two For One, Milestone Rotisserie, Pitcher & Piano, and Revere. It also licenses and franchises more than 500 other taverns, and it has some locations that offer lodging. The company has five breweries that distribute its beer brands for sale to both out-of-home and at-home customers. Its key beer brands include Hobgoblin, Marston's Pedigree, Wainwright, Ringwood, Brakspear, and Banks's. Roughly 20% of the company's revenue comes from the brewing business; the rest comes from its pub businesses. Virtually all revenue is generated in the United Kingdom.
52GF Score

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Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

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