Marston's (LSE:MARS) Altman Z-Score: 0.71 (As of Jun. 27, 2026) — 16% Above Median


LSE:MARS Marston's PLC LSE:MARS
52 GF Score
Price £0.50
GF Value £0.39
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Marston's Altman Z-Score?

Marston's LSE:MARS -1.57% 52 Altman Z-Score is 0.71 as of Jun. 27, 2026, which is 16% above its 10-year median of 0.61. GuruFocus rates LSE:MARS with a GF Score™ of 52/100 and a GF Value™ of £0.39 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 360 Restaurants companies, Marston's ranks worse than 81.67% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 0.71 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Marston's has a Altman Z-Score of 0.71, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Marston's's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:MARS' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.31   Med: 0.61   Max: 0.73
Current: 0.71

During the past 13 years, Marston's's highest Altman Z-Score was 0.73. The lowest was -0.31. And the median was 0.61.


Marston's  (LSE:MARS) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Marston's Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Marston's Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Marston's's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Marston's Altman Z-Score Chart

Marston's Annual Data
Trend Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.03 0.63 0.43 0.59 0.69

Marston's Semi-Annual Data
Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.59 0.00 0.69 0.00

LSE:MARS vs MCD, SBUX, CMG: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Marston's's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Marston's Altman Z-Score vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Marston's's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Marston's's Altman Z-Score falls into.


LSE:MARS
52GF Score
Marston's PLC LSE:MARS
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Marston's Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Marston's's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.074+1.4*0.0249+3.3*0.077+0.6*0.2078+1.0*0.3876
=0.71

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2025:
Total Assets was £2,316.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £77.3 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £248.8 Mil.
Retained Earnings was £57.6 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was £88.3 Mil.
Interest Expense was £-90.0 Mil.
Revenue was £897.9 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was £317.1 Mil.
Total Liabilities was £1,525.6 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(77.3 - 248.8)/2316.3
=-0.074

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=57.6/2316.3
=0.0249

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(88.3 - -90)/2316.3
=0.077

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=317.064/1525.6
=0.2078

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=897.9/2316.3
=0.3876

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Marston's has a Altman Z-Score of 0.71 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 0.71 mean?
Marston's (LSE:MARS) has a Altman Z-Score of 0.71 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Marston's and its competitors. This is 16% above median its historical median of 0.61. According to the industry distribution chart, Marston's ranks #294 out of 360 companies in the Restaurants industry, placing it in the top 81.7%.
Is Marston's' Altman Z-Score too high?
Marston's' current Altman Z-Score of 0.71 is 16% above median its 10-year median of 0.61. The Restaurants industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.23. Marston's' value of 0.71 is 68.1% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Marston's ranks #294 out of 360 companies in the Restaurants industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Marston's has a GF Score™ of 52/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Marston's' Altman Z-Score compare to MCD and SBUX?
According to the Restaurants industry distribution chart, Marston's ranks #294 out of 360 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Marston's in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.23. Marston's' value of 0.71 is 68.1% below this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 0.61 vs. the industry median of 2.23, Marston's has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Restaurants company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Restaurants companies is 2.23, based on 360 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Marston's's current Altman Z-Score of 0.71 is 68.1% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Marston's and its competitors. For the Restaurants industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.23 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Marston's's current Altman Z-Score is 0.71, which is 16% above median its own 10-year median of 0.61. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Marston's stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Marston's (LSE:MARS) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is £0.39, compared to a current price of £0.50 — trading 28.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 0.71, which is 16% above median its 10-year median of 0.61 and 68.1% below the Restaurants industry median of 2.23. Marston's' overall GF Score™ is 52/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Marston's (LSE:MARS), the current Altman Z-Score is 0.71 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Marston's (LSE:MARS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Marston's stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of £0.50 is trading 28.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of £0.39. GuruFocus considers Marston's to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for LSE:MARS:

  • Altman Z-Score: 0.71 (16% above median its 10-year median of 0.61)
  • GF Value™: £0.39 vs. price of £0.50 (28.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 52/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 68.1% below the Restaurants median (#294 of 360)

No single metric tells the full story. See the LSE:MARS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Marston's Business Description

Other Exchanges MARZF:USAMARSl:UK
Address Saint Johns Square, Saint Johns House, Wolverhampton, GBR, WV1 4JT
Marston's PLC is a beer brewer and pub operator. It operates more than 1,500 pubs across the United Kingdom under brand names including Marston's Two For One, Milestone Rotisserie, Pitcher & Piano, and Revere. It also licenses and franchises more than 500 other taverns, and it has some locations that offer lodging. The company has five breweries that distribute its beer brands for sale to both out-of-home and at-home customers. Its key beer brands include Hobgoblin, Marston's Pedigree, Wainwright, Ringwood, Brakspear, and Banks's. Roughly 20% of the company's revenue comes from the brewing business; the rest comes from its pub businesses. Virtually all revenue is generated in the United Kingdom.
52GF Score

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Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

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