Astellas Pharma (MEX:4503N) Altman Z2-Score: 3.09 (As of Jun. 25, 2026) — 26% Below Median


MEX:4503N Astellas Pharma Inc MEX:4503N
78 GF Score
Price MXN253.57
GF Value MXN246.87
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Astellas Pharma Altman Z2-Score?

Astellas Pharma MEX:4503N 78 Altman Z2-Score is 3.09 as of Jun. 25, 2026, which is 26% below its 10-year median of 4.17. GuruFocus rates MEX:4503N with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN246.87 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 997 Drug Manufacturers companies, Astellas Pharma ranks worse than 57.57% on this metric.

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Good Sign:

Astellas Pharma has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.09, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Astellas Pharma's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:4503N' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.48   Med: 4.17   Max: 7.06
Current: 3.04

During the past 13 years, Astellas Pharma's highest Altman Z2-Score was 7.06. The lowest was 1.48. And the median was 4.17.


Astellas Pharma  (MEX:4503N) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Astellas Pharma Altman Z2-Score Related Terms


Astellas Pharma Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Astellas Pharma's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Astellas Pharma Altman Z2-Score Chart

Astellas Pharma Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.21 4.13 1.48 1.97 3.04

Astellas Pharma Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.97 2.11 2.08 2.75 3.04

MEX:4503N vs LLY, JNJ, ABBV: Altman Z2-Score Comparison

For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, Astellas Pharma's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Astellas Pharma Altman Z2-Score vs Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Astellas Pharma's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Astellas Pharma's Altman Z2-Score falls into.


MEX:4503N
78GF Score
Astellas Pharma Inc MEX:4503N
Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Astellas Pharma Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Astellas Pharma's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.0571+3.26*0.2531+6.72*0.1169+1.05*1.0535
=3.09

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was MXN405,359 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN161,587 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN138,459 Mil.
Retained Earnings was MXN102,598 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 5457.447 + 15469.901 + 12926.043 + 11783.082 = MXN45,636 Mil.
Interest Expense was -344.897 + -282.474 + -334.1 + -768.632 = MXN-1,730 Mil.
Total Liabilities was MXN197,297 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(161587.312 - 138459.074)/405358.607
=0.0571

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=102598.272/405358.607
=0.2531

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(45636.473 - -1730.103)/405358.607
=0.1169

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(207852.537 - 0)/197296.973
=1.0535

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Astellas Pharma has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.09 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z2-Score →
What does a Altman Z2-Score of 3.09 mean?
Astellas Pharma (MEX:4503N) has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.09 as of Jun. 25, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Astellas Pharma and its competitors. This is 26% below median its historical median of 4.17. Over the past decade, Astellas Pharma's Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 1.48 to 7.06. According to the industry distribution chart, Astellas Pharma ranks #574 out of 997 companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry, placing it in the top 57.6%.
Is Astellas Pharma's Altman Z2-Score too high?
Astellas Pharma's current Altman Z2-Score of 3.09 is 26% below median its 10-year median of 4.17. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.48 to a high of 7.06. The Drug Manufacturers industry median Altman Z2-Score is 3.87. Astellas Pharma's value of 3.09 is 20.2% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Astellas Pharma ranks #574 out of 997 companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Astellas Pharma has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Astellas Pharma's Altman Z2-Score compare to LLY and JNJ?
According to the Drug Manufacturers industry distribution chart, Astellas Pharma ranks #574 out of 997 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This places Astellas Pharma in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 3.87. Astellas Pharma's value of 3.09 is 20.2% below this benchmark. Historically, Astellas Pharma's own Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 1.48 to 7.06 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 4.17 vs. the industry median of 3.87, Astellas Pharma has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for a Drug Manufacturers company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Drug Manufacturers companies is 3.87, based on 997 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Astellas Pharma's current Altman Z2-Score of 3.09 is 20.2% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Astellas Pharma and its competitors. For the Drug Manufacturers industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 3.87 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Astellas Pharma's current Altman Z2-Score is 3.09, which is 26% below median its own 10-year median of 4.17. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Astellas Pharma stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Astellas Pharma (MEX:4503N) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN246.87, compared to a current price of MXN253.57 — trading 2.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is 3.09, which is 26% below median its 10-year median of 4.17 and 20.2% below the Drug Manufacturers industry median of 3.87. Astellas Pharma's overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Astellas Pharma (MEX:4503N), the current Altman Z2-Score is 3.09 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Astellas Pharma (MEX:4503N) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Astellas Pharma stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN253.57 is trading 2.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN246.87. GuruFocus considers Astellas Pharma to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:4503N:

  • Altman Z2-Score: 3.09 (26% below median its 10-year median of 4.17)
  • GF Value™: MXN246.87 vs. price of MXN253.57 (2.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 78/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 20.2% below the Drug Manufacturers median (#574 of 997)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:4503N stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Astellas Pharma Business Description

Address 2-5-1 Nihonbashi-Honcho, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 103-8411
Astellas Pharma Inc is a specialty international pharmaceutical company. The company focuses on accelerating the discovery, development, and commercialization of ground-breaking innovations that could redefine expectations of care for difficult-to-treat diseases. The group is committed to driving innovation in immuno-oncology, gene therapy, mitochondria, blindness and regeneration, and targeted protein degradation. Its core products include anticancer agents like XTANDI, XOSPATA, and PADCEV; VEOZAH for the treatment of vasomotor symptoms due to menopause; Betanis / Myrbetriq / BETMIGA for the treatment of overactive bladder (OAB); and Prograf, an immunosuppressant for organ transplantation.
78GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:4503N

Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN253.57
Price
MXN246.87
GF Value