Shinwa Co (NGO:3447) Altman Z2-Score: 3.18 (As of Jul. 04, 2026) — 39% Below Median


NGO:3447 Shinwa Co Ltd NGO:3447
77 GF Score
Price 円886.00
GF Value 円1,038.52
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Shinwa Co Altman Z2-Score?

Shinwa Co NGO:3447 77 Altman Z2-Score is 3.18 as of Jul. 04, 2026, which is 39% below its 10-year median of 5.21. GuruFocus rates NGO:3447 with a GF Score™ of 77/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,038.52. The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 3,037 Industrial Products companies, Shinwa Co ranks worse than 63.42% on this metric.

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Good Sign:

Shinwa Co has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.18, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Shinwa Co's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NGO:3447' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.18   Med: 5.21   Max: 5.93
Current: 3.18

During the past 10 years, Shinwa Co's highest Altman Z2-Score was 5.93. The lowest was 3.18. And the median was 5.21.


Shinwa Co  (NGO:3447) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Shinwa Co Altman Z2-Score Related Terms


Shinwa Co Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Shinwa Co's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Shinwa Co Altman Z2-Score Chart

Shinwa Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.60 5.47 5.93 3.21 3.18

Shinwa Co Semi-Annual Data
Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.93 3.36 3.21 0.00 3.18

NGO:3447 vs CRS, ATI, MLI: Altman Z2-Score Comparison

For the Metal Fabrication subindustry, Shinwa Co's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shinwa Co Altman Z2-Score vs Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Shinwa Co's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shinwa Co's Altman Z2-Score falls into.


NGO:3447
77GF Score
Shinwa Co Ltd NGO:3447
Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Shinwa Co Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Shinwa Co's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.0666+3.26*0.3181+6.72*0.0785+1.05*1.1219
=3.18

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was 円31,984 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円9,725 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円7,596 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円10,176 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 円2,313 Mil.
Interest Expense was 円-198 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円15,074 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(9725.286 - 7595.616)/31984.489
=0.0666

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=10175.678/31984.489
=0.3181

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(2313.466 - -198.293)/31984.489
=0.0785

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(16910.94 - 0)/15073.549
=1.1219

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Shinwa Co has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.18 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z2-Score →
What does a Altman Z2-Score of 3.18 mean?
Shinwa Co (NGO:3447) has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.18 as of Jul. 04, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Shinwa Co and its competitors. This is 39% below median its historical median of 5.21. Over the past decade, Shinwa Co's Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 3.18 to 5.93. According to the industry distribution chart, Shinwa Co ranks #1926 out of 3037 companies in the Industrial Products industry, placing it in the top 63.4%.
Is Shinwa Co's Altman Z2-Score too high?
Shinwa Co's current Altman Z2-Score of 3.18 is 39% below median its 10-year median of 5.21. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 3.18 to a high of 5.93. The Industrial Products industry median Altman Z2-Score is 4.28. Shinwa Co's value of 3.18 is 25.7% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Shinwa Co ranks #1926 out of 3037 companies in the Industrial Products industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Shinwa Co has a GF Score™ of 77/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Shinwa Co's Altman Z2-Score compare to CRS and ATI?
According to the Industrial Products industry distribution chart, Shinwa Co ranks #1926 out of 3037 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This places Shinwa Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 4.28. Shinwa Co's value of 3.18 is 25.7% below this benchmark. Historically, Shinwa Co's own Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 3.18 to 5.93 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 5.21 vs. the industry median of 4.28, Shinwa Co has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for an Industrial Products company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Industrial Products companies is 4.28, based on 3,037 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Shinwa Co's current Altman Z2-Score of 3.18 is 25.7% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Shinwa Co and its competitors. For the Industrial Products industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 4.28 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Shinwa Co's current Altman Z2-Score is 3.18, which is 39% below median its own 10-year median of 5.21. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Shinwa Co stock overvalued right now?
Shinwa Co (NGO:3447) has a current Altman Z2-Score of 3.18. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,038.52, compared to a current price of 円886.00 — trading 14.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is 3.18, which is 39% below median its 10-year median of 5.21 and 25.7% below the Industrial Products industry median of 4.28. Shinwa Co's overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Shinwa Co (NGO:3447), the current Altman Z2-Score is 3.18 as of Jul. 04, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Shinwa Co (NGO:3447) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Shinwa Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円886.00 is trading 14.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,038.52.

Key valuation signals for NGO:3447:

  • Altman Z2-Score: 3.18 (39% below median its 10-year median of 5.21)
  • GF Value™: 円1,038.52 vs. price of 円886.00 (14.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 77/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 25.7% below the Industrial Products median (#1926 of 3037)

No single metric tells the full story. See the NGO:3447 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Shinwa Co Business Description

Other Exchanges 3447:Japan
Address 30-7 Hiratacho Bushigawa, Gifu Prefecture, Kaizu-shi, JPN, 503-0311
Shinwa Co Ltd is a Japan-based company offering temporary construction materials and distribution equipment. Products offered by the company include Shinwa catcher, Shinwa pallet, logistics equipment and other safety equipment such as preceding handrail safe hangers, baseboard safe angles, simple lift handling boxes.
77GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NGO:3447

Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円886.00
Price
円1,038.52
GF Value