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NHTC (Natural Health Trends) Altman Z2-Score : 4.07 (As of Dec. 11, 2024)


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What is Natural Health Trends Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Good Sign:

Natural Health Trends has a Altman Z2-Score of 4.07, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Natural Health Trends's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NHTC' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.45   Med: 6.67   Max: 10.08
Current: 4.07

During the past 13 years, Natural Health Trends's highest Altman Z2-Score was 10.08. The lowest was 3.45. And the median was 6.67.


Natural Health Trends Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Natural Health Trends's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Natural Health Trends Altman Z2-Score Chart

Natural Health Trends Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.48 7.04 6.29 5.83 5.03

Natural Health Trends Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.17 5.03 4.63 4.29 4.07

Competitive Comparison of Natural Health Trends's Altman Z2-Score

For the Internet Retail subindustry, Natural Health Trends's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Natural Health Trends's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Natural Health Trends's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Natural Health Trends's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Natural Health Trends Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Natural Health Trends's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.5615+3.26*-0.4154+6.72*0.0191+1.05*1.5359
=4.07

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2024:
Total Assets was $58.29 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $53.84 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $21.11 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-24.22 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 0.166 + 0.281 + 0.198 + 0.466 = $1.11 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0.00 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $22.99 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(53.842 - 21.112)/58.291
=0.5615

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-24.216/58.291
=-0.4154

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(1.111 - 0)/58.291
=0.0191

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(35.305 - 0)/22.986
=1.5359

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Natural Health Trends has a Altman Z2-Score of 4.07 indicating it is in Safe Zones.


Natural Health Trends  (NAS:NHTC) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Natural Health Trends Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Natural Health Trends Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
132 Nathan Road, Tsimshatsui, Units 1205-07, 12th floor, Mira Place Tower A, Kowloon, Hong Kong, HKG
Natural Health Trends Corp is an international direct-selling and e-commerce company. It offers a line of products such as Wellness, Herbal, Beauty, Lifestyle, and Home. Wellness products include targeted nutrition for joint health, antioxidant support, digestive health, heart health, and vision health. Herbal products include anti-aging and hydrating cleansers, creams, lotions, serums, and toners. Lifestyle products improve the overall quality of life and to support active, physical and healthy lifestyles. Home products are designed to create a clean and natural living environment for the home. It generates a majority of its revenue from Hong Kong and rest from China, Taiwan, Japan, United States and other regions.
Executives
Brunde E Broady director UNITS 1205-07, 12/F, MIRA PLACE TOWER A, 132 NATHAN ROAD, TSIMSHATSUI, KOWLOON K3 0000000000
Ching Chung Wong director UNITS 1205-07, 12/F, MIRA PLACE TOWER A, 132 NATHAN ROAD, TSIMSHATSUI, KOWLOON K3 0000000000
George K Broady director, 10 percent owner 751 CANYON DRIVE, SUITE 100, C/O KINGS III OF AMERICA, COPPELL TX 75019
Chris Tahjiun Sharng director, officer: President C/O OF NATURAL HEALTH TRENDS CORP., 609 DEEP VALLEY DRIVE, ROLLING HILLS ESTATES CA 90274
Timothy Scott Davidson officer: Sr. V.P. & CFO 609 DEEP VALLEY DRIVE, SUITE 395, ROLLING HILLS ESTATES CA 90274
Yiu Tung Chan director FLAT B, 13/F, GREENPARK VILLA, KAT CHEUNG CRESCENT, SHEUNG SHUI, NEW TERRITORIES K3 999077
Randall A Mason director PO BOX 4016, MARIETTA OH 45750
Christopher Robert O'brien director 448 32ND ST, MANHATTAN BEACH CA 90266
Jane Eleanor Broady 2012 Irrevocable Trust 10 percent owner 751 CANYON DRIVE, SUITE 100, COPPELL TX 75019
Kin Yep Chung director FLAT E, 14/F, CHARMING GARDEN BLOCK 8, MONG KOK K3 999077
John Marvin Broady 10 percent owner 751 CANYON DRIVE, SUITE 100, COPPELL TX 75019
Magdalena Steinbrunner 10 percent owner 751 CANYON DRIVE, SUITE 100, COPPELL TX 75019
George Vincent Broady 10 percent owner 751 CANYON DRIVE, SUITE 100, COPPELL TX 75019
Stefan Zuckut director C/O NATURAL HEALTH TRENDS CORP., 2050 DIPLOMAT DRIVE, DALLAS TX 75234
Chief China Resources Ltd 10 percent owner 18 CHAOYANGMENWAI STREET, SUITE B710, FULL LINK PLAZA, BEIJING F4 100020

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