Middle East Paper Co (SAU:1202) Altman Z2-Score: 3.01 (As of Jul. 18, 2026) — 33% Above Median

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SAU:1202 Middle East Paper Co SAU:1202
80 GF Score
Price ﷼16.81
GF Value ﷼28.85
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Middle East Paper Co Altman Z2-Score?

Middle East Paper Co SAU:1202 +0.06% 80 Altman Z2-Score is 3.01 as of Jul. 18, 2026, which is 33% above its 10-year median of 2.27. GuruFocus rates SAU:1202 with a GF Score™ of 80/100 and a GF Value™ of ﷼28.85 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 280 Forest Products companies, Middle East Paper Co ranks better than 53.57% on this metric.

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Good Sign:

Middle East Paper Co has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.01, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Middle East Paper Co's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SAU:1202' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.98   Med: 2.27   Max: 5.49
Current: 3.01

During the past 13 years, Middle East Paper Co's highest Altman Z2-Score was 5.49. The lowest was 0.98. And the median was 2.27.


Middle East Paper Co  (SAU:1202) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Middle East Paper Co Altman Z2-Score Related Terms


Middle East Paper Co Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Middle East Paper Co's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Middle East Paper Co Altman Z2-Score Chart

Middle East Paper Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.07 5.07 2.16 3.50 3.42

Middle East Paper Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.43 3.54 3.70 3.42 3.01

SAU:1202 vs SLVM: Altman Z2-Score Comparison

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Middle East Paper Co's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Middle East Paper Co Altman Z2-Score vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Middle East Paper Co's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Middle East Paper Co's Altman Z2-Score falls into.


SAU:1202
80GF Score
Middle East Paper Co SAU:1202
Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Middle East Paper Co Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Middle East Paper Co's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.1469+3.26*0.1231+6.72*0.0215+1.05*1.4268
=3.01

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was ﷼2,759 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ﷼1,194 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ﷼789 Mil.
Retained Earnings was ﷼340 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 0.925 + 0.5 + 16.601 + 8.905 = ﷼27 Mil.
Interest Expense was -8.617 + -6.352 + -8.267 + -9.079 = ﷼-32 Mil.
Total Liabilities was ﷼1,140 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1194.484 - 789.263)/2759.061
=0.1469

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=339.508/2759.061
=0.1231

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(26.931 - -32.315)/2759.061
=0.0215

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(1626.175 - 0)/1139.722
=1.4268

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Middle East Paper Co has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.01 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z2-Score →
What does a Altman Z2-Score of 3.01 mean?
Middle East Paper Co (SAU:1202) has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.01 as of Jul. 18, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Middle East Paper Co and its competitors. This is 33% above median its historical median of 2.27. Over the past decade, Middle East Paper Co's Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 0.98 to 5.49. According to the industry distribution chart, Middle East Paper Co ranks #130 out of 280 companies in the Forest Products industry, placing it in the top 46.4%.
Is Middle East Paper Co's Altman Z2-Score too high?
Middle East Paper Co's current Altman Z2-Score of 3.01 is 33% above median its 10-year median of 2.27. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.98 to a high of 5.49. The Forest Products industry median Altman Z2-Score is 2.69. Middle East Paper Co's value of 3.01 is 11.9% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Middle East Paper Co ranks #130 out of 280 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Middle East Paper Co has a GF Score™ of 80/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Middle East Paper Co's Altman Z2-Score compare to SLVM?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, Middle East Paper Co ranks #130 out of 280 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This puts Middle East Paper Co in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 2.69. Middle East Paper Co's value of 3.01 is 11.9% above this benchmark. Historically, Middle East Paper Co's own Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 0.98 to 5.49 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.27 vs. the industry median of 2.69, Middle East Paper Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for a Forest Products company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Forest Products companies is 2.69, based on 280 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Middle East Paper Co's current Altman Z2-Score of 3.01 is 11.9% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Middle East Paper Co and its competitors. For the Forest Products industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 2.69 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Middle East Paper Co's current Altman Z2-Score is 3.01, which is 33% above median its own 10-year median of 2.27. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Middle East Paper Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Middle East Paper Co (SAU:1202) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is ﷼28.85, compared to a current price of ﷼16.81 — trading 41.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is 3.01, which is 33% above median its 10-year median of 2.27 and 11.9% above the Forest Products industry median of 2.69. Middle East Paper Co's overall GF Score™ is 80/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Middle East Paper Co (SAU:1202), the current Altman Z2-Score is 3.01 as of Jul. 18, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Middle East Paper Co (SAU:1202) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Middle East Paper Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ﷼16.81 is trading 41.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of ﷼28.85. GuruFocus considers Middle East Paper Co to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for SAU:1202:

  • Altman Z2-Score: 3.01 (33% above median its 10-year median of 2.27)
  • GF Value™: ﷼28.85 vs. price of ﷼16.81 (41.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 80/100 with 7 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 11.9% above the Forest Products median (#130 of 280)

No single metric tells the full story. See the SAU:1202 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Middle East Paper Co Business Description

Address Prince Mohammed Bin Abdulaziz Street, Nojoud Center, P.O.Box 9249, 1st Floor, Entrance (A), Unit No. 45, Al Andalus, Jeddah, SAU, 23326
Middle East Paper Co is engaged in the production and sale of container board, industrial paper, and tissue paper. Along with its subsidiaries, the company has two operating and reportable segments, that is, Manufacturing and Trading. The Manufacturing segment represents the manufacturing of container board and industrial paper, as well as tissue paper, and the Trading segment represents wholesale and retail sales of paper, carton, and plastic waste. A majority of its revenue is generated from the Manufacturing segment. Geographically, the group generates maximum revenue from Saudi Arabia, followed by Asia, Other GCC countries, Africa, Europe, and the Americas.
80GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SAU:1202

Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

﷼16.81
Price
﷼28.85
GF Value