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Universal Music Group NV (WBO:UMG) Altman Z2-Score : -7.39 (As of Dec. 12, 2024)


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What is Universal Music Group NV Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Universal Music Group NV has a Altman Z2-Score of -7.39, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Universal Music Group NV's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WBO:UMG' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -9.42   Med: -3.26   Max: 2.32
Current: -7.39

During the past 7 years, Universal Music Group NV's highest Altman Z2-Score was 2.32. The lowest was -9.42. And the median was -3.26.


Universal Music Group NV Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Universal Music Group NV's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Universal Music Group NV Altman Z2-Score Chart

Universal Music Group NV Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 1.65 0.87 -8.60 -9.42 -7.39

Universal Music Group NV Semi-Annual Data
Dec18 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -9.42 - -7.39 -

Competitive Comparison of Universal Music Group NV's Altman Z2-Score

For the Entertainment subindustry, Universal Music Group NV's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Universal Music Group NV's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Universal Music Group NV's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Universal Music Group NV's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Universal Music Group NV Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Universal Music Group NV's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*-0.1689+3.26*-2.3103+6.72*0.1401+1.05*0.293
=-7.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was €13,091 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €4,056 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €6,267 Mil.
Retained Earnings was €-30,244 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was €1,721 Mil.
Interest Expense was €-113 Mil.
Total Liabilities was €10,108 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(4056 - 6267)/13091
=-0.1689

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-30244/13091
=-2.3103

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(1721 - -113)/13091
=0.1401

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(2962 - 0)/10108
=0.293

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Universal Music Group NV has a Altman Z2-Score of -7.39 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Universal Music Group NV  (WBO:UMG) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Universal Music Group NV Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Universal Music Group NV Business Description

Address
Gravelandseweg 80, Hilversum, NH, NLD, 1217 EW
Universal Music is the largest of the three major record companies. Recorded music accounts for most of the firm's revenue, with the segment housing more than a dozen record labels, including notable names like Interscope, Capital Music, Motown Records, and Def Jam. Some of the most successful current artists signed to record deals with Universal include Taylor Swift, Drake, The Weeknd, and Morgan Wallen. Most of Universal's remaining revenue comes from its publishing segment, which generates revenue for songwriters and composers, including some of Universal's recording artists as well as songwriters and composers who do not record music themselves or are attached to other labels. Universal's publishing group has nearly 4.5 million owned or administered titles in its catalog.

Universal Music Group NV Headlines

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