Eli Lilly and Co (XSWX:LLY) Altman Z2-Score: 4.09 (As of Jun. 26, 2026) — 69% Above Median


XSWX:LLY Eli Lilly and Co XSWX:LLY
100 GF Score
Price CHF915.00
GF Value CHF1,111.74
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Eli Lilly and Co Altman Z2-Score?

Eli Lilly and Co XSWX:LLY 100 Altman Z2-Score is 4.09 as of Jun. 26, 2026, which is 69% above its 10-year median of 2.42. GuruFocus rates XSWX:LLY with a GF Score™ of 100/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF1,111.74 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 997 Drug Manufacturers companies, Eli Lilly and Co ranks better than 52.36% on this metric.

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Good Sign:

Eli Lilly and Co has a Altman Z2-Score of 4.09, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Eli Lilly and Co's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XSWX:LLY' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.31   Med: 2.42   Max: 4.07
Current: 4.07

During the past 13 years, Eli Lilly and Co's highest Altman Z2-Score was 4.07. The lowest was 1.31. And the median was 2.42.


Eli Lilly and Co  (XSWX:LLY) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Eli Lilly and Co Altman Z2-Score Related Terms


Eli Lilly and Co Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Eli Lilly and Co's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Eli Lilly and Co Altman Z2-Score Chart

Eli Lilly and Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.19 2.04 1.32 2.31 3.79

Eli Lilly and Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.66 2.66 3.51 3.79 4.07

XSWX:LLY vs JNJ, ABBV, MRK: Altman Z2-Score Comparison

For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, Eli Lilly and Co's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Eli Lilly and Co Altman Z2-Score vs Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Eli Lilly and Co's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Eli Lilly and Co's Altman Z2-Score falls into.


XSWX:LLY
100GF Score
Eli Lilly and Co XSWX:LLY
Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Eli Lilly and Co Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Eli Lilly and Co's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.1561+3.26*0.2532+6.72*0.2764+1.05*0.3654
=4.09

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was CHF91,780 Mil.
Total Current Assets was CHF43,172 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was CHF28,842 Mil.
Retained Earnings was CHF23,236 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 6967.605 + 6587.335 + 5757.714 + 5510.568 = CHF24,823 Mil.
Interest Expense was -199.187 + 0 + -142.98 + -202.487 = CHF-545 Mil.
Total Liabilities was CHF67,218 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(43171.596 - 28841.948)/91780.285
=0.1561

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=23236.372/91780.285
=0.2532

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(24823.222 - -544.654)/91780.285
=0.2764

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(24562.185 - 0)/67218.099
=0.3654

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Eli Lilly and Co has a Altman Z2-Score of 4.09 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z2-Score →
What does a Altman Z2-Score of 4.09 mean?
Eli Lilly and Co (XSWX:LLY) has a Altman Z2-Score of 4.09 as of Jun. 26, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Eli Lilly and Co and its competitors. This is 69% above median its historical median of 2.42. Over the past decade, Eli Lilly and Co's Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 1.31 to 4.07. According to the industry distribution chart, Eli Lilly and Co ranks #475 out of 997 companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry, placing it in the top 47.6%.
Is Eli Lilly and Co's Altman Z2-Score too high?
Eli Lilly and Co's current Altman Z2-Score of 4.09 is 69% above median its 10-year median of 2.42. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.31 to a high of 4.07. The Drug Manufacturers industry median Altman Z2-Score is 3.87. Eli Lilly and Co's value of 4.09 is 5.7% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Eli Lilly and Co ranks #475 out of 997 companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Eli Lilly and Co has a GF Score™ of 100/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Eli Lilly and Co's Altman Z2-Score compare to JNJ and ABBV?
According to the Drug Manufacturers industry distribution chart, Eli Lilly and Co ranks #475 out of 997 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This puts Eli Lilly and Co in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 3.87. Eli Lilly and Co's value of 4.09 is 5.7% above this benchmark. Historically, Eli Lilly and Co's own Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 1.31 to 4.07 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.42 vs. the industry median of 3.87, Eli Lilly and Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for a Drug Manufacturers company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Drug Manufacturers companies is 3.87, based on 997 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Eli Lilly and Co's current Altman Z2-Score of 4.09 is 5.7% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Eli Lilly and Co and its competitors. For the Drug Manufacturers industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 3.87 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Eli Lilly and Co's current Altman Z2-Score is 4.09, which is 69% above median its own 10-year median of 2.42. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Eli Lilly and Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Eli Lilly and Co (XSWX:LLY) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF1,111.74, compared to a current price of CHF915.00 — trading 17.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is 4.09, which is 69% above median its 10-year median of 2.42 and 5.7% above the Drug Manufacturers industry median of 3.87. Eli Lilly and Co's overall GF Score™ is 100/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Eli Lilly and Co (XSWX:LLY), the current Altman Z2-Score is 4.09 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Eli Lilly and Co (XSWX:LLY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Eli Lilly and Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of CHF915.00 is trading 17.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of CHF1,111.74. GuruFocus considers Eli Lilly and Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:LLY:

  • Altman Z2-Score: 4.09 (69% above median its 10-year median of 2.42)
  • GF Value™: CHF1,111.74 vs. price of CHF915.00 (17.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 100/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 5.7% above the Drug Manufacturers median (#475 of 997)

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:LLY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Eli Lilly and Co Business Description

Address Lilly Corporate Center, Indianapolis, IN, USA, 46285
Eli Lilly is a drug firm with a focus on neuroscience, cardiometabolic, cancer, and immunology. Lilly's key products include Verzenio and Jaypirca for cancer; Mounjaro, Zepbound, Foundayo, Jardiance, Trulicity, Humalog, and Humulin for cardiometabolic; and Taltz and Olumiant for immunology.
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Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF915.00
Price
CHF1,111.74
GF Value