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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Warning Sign:
Altman Z-score of -131.28 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.
Golden Minerals Co has a Altman Z-Score of -131.30, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Golden Minerals Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, Golden Minerals Co's highest Altman Z-Score was -14.58. The lowest was -132.59. And the median was -47.74.
The historical data trend for Golden Minerals Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Golden Minerals Co Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec14 | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | |||||||||||
Altman Z-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | -52.14 | -29.60 | -26.18 | -47.40 | -51.99 |
Golden Minerals Co Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | Mar24 | Jun24 | Sep24 | |
Altman Z-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | -63.20 | -51.99 | -69.59 | -132.59 | -131.14 |
For the Other Precious Metals & Mining subindustry, Golden Minerals Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Golden Minerals Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Golden Minerals Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Golden Minerals Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z | = | 1.2 | * | X1 | + | 1.4 | * | X2 | + | 3.3 | * | X3 | + | 0.6 | * | X4 | + | 1.0 | * | X5 |
= | 1.2 | * | -0.3297 | + | 1.4 | * | -90.8243 | + | 3.3 | * | -1.1963 | + | 0.6 | * | 0.2411 | + | 1.0 | * | 0.0492 | |
= | -131.30 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2024:
Total Assets was $6.10 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2.53 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4.54 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-554.30 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -0.551 + -1.903 + -1.747 + -3.1 = $-7.30 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0.00 Mil.
Revenue was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0.3 = $0.30 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $1.88 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $7.79 Mil.
* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.
X1 | = | Working Capital | / | Total Assets |
= | (Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities) | / | Total Assets | |
= | (2.527 - 4.539) | / | 6.103 | |
= | -0.3297 |
X2 | = | Retained Earnings | / | Total Assets |
= | -554.301 | / | 6.103 | |
= | -90.8243 |
X3 | = | Earnings Before Interest and Taxes | / | Total Assets |
= | (Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense) | / | Total Assets | |
= | (-7.301 - 0) | / | 6.103 | |
= | -1.1963 |
X4 | = | Market Value Equity | / | Book Value of Total Liabilities |
= | Market Cap | / | Total Liabilities | |
= | 1.877 | / | 7.785 | |
= | 0.2411 |
X5 | = | Revenue | / | Total Assets |
= | 0.3 | / | 6.103 | |
= | 0.0492 |
The zones of discrimination were as such:
Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones
Golden Minerals Co has a Altman Z-Score of -131.30 indicating it is in Distress Zones.
Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.
Golden Minerals Co (AMEX:AUMN) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.
Be Aware
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Golden Minerals Co's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Sentient Global Resources Fund Iv, L.p. | 10 percent owner | LANDMARK SQUARE, 64 EARTH CLOSE, WEST BAY BEACH SOUTH, GEORGE TOWN, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1107 |
Pablo Castanos | officer: Executive Vice President | 350 INDIANA STREET, SUITE 650, GOLDEN CO 80401 |
William Durand Eppler | director | 165 GILPIN STREET, DENVER CO 80218 |
David Watkins | director | 1717 SASAMAT STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6R 4S3 |
Andrew Pullar | director | LANDMARK SQUARE, 1ST FL., 64 EARTH CLOSE, WEST BAY BEACH SOUTH, P.O. BOX 10795, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1007 |
John Galassini | officer: Chief Operating Officer | 350 INDIANA STREET, SUITE 650, GOLDEN CO 80401 |
Julie Weedman | officer: Senior VP and CFO | 350 INDIANA STREET, SUITE 650, GOLDEN CO 80401 |
Robert P Vogels | officer: VP, Principal Acct Officer | 1700 LINCOLN STREET, SUITE 3050, DENVER CO 80203 |
Sentient Global Resources Fund Iii, Lp | 10 percent owner | P O BOX 10795, HARBOUR CENTER, GEORGETOWN E9 KY1-1007 |
Warren Rehn | officer: SVP Exploration/Chief Geol. | 350 INDIANA STREET, SUITE 800, GOLDEN CO 80401 |
Jeffrey G Clevenger | director, officer: Chief Executive Officer | 1700 LINCOLN STREET, SUITE 3050, DENVER CO 80203 |
Deborah J Friedman | officer: Sr VP, Gen. Coun. & Corp. Secy | 1700 LINCOLN STREET, SUITE 3050, DENVER CO 80203 |
Sentient Gp Iv, Lp | other: General Partner | P O BOX 10795, GRANDY CAYMAN KY1-1007 E9 00000 |
Sentient Executive Gp Iv, Ltd | 10 percent owner | P O BOX 10795, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1007 |
Michael Thomas Mason | director | 142 STRATFORD AVE, GARDEN CITY NY 11530 |
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