Aluminium of EgyptCAI:EGAL -0.36%61 Altman Z-Score is 12.61 as of Jul. 05, 2026, which is 312% above its 10-year median of 3.06. GuruFocus rates CAI:EGAL with a GF Score™ of 61/100 and a GF Value™ of E£188.83 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 786 Metals & Mining companies, Aluminium of Egypt ranks better than 86.77% on this metric.
The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Good Sign:
Altman Z-score of 12.61 is strong.
Aluminium of Egypt has a Altman Z-Score of 12.61, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Aluminium of Egypt's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
CAI:EGAL'
s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.32 Med: 3.06 Max: 13.1
Current: 12.61
During the past 13 years, Aluminium of Egypt's highest Altman Z-Score was 13.10. The lowest was 0.32. And the median was 3.06.
Aluminium of Egypt (CAI:EGAL) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Aluminium of Egypt Altman Z-Score Related Terms
Aluminium of Egypt Altman Z-Score Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Aluminium of Egypt's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
CAI:EGAL vs AA, CENX, CSTM: Altman Z-Score Comparison
For the Aluminum subindustry, Aluminium of Egypt's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Aluminium of Egypt Altman Z-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry
For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Aluminium of Egypt's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Aluminium of Egypt's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Aluminium of Egypt's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
0.6409
+
1.4
*
0.385
+
3.3
*
0.3825
+
0.6
*
14.5762
+
1.0
*
1.2954
=
12.61
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Aluminium of Egypt (CAI:EGAL) has a Altman Z-Score of 12.61 as of Jul. 05, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Aluminium of Egypt and its competitors. This is 312% above median its historical median of 3.06. Over the past decade, Aluminium of Egypt's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.32 to 13.10. According to the industry distribution chart, Aluminium of Egypt ranks #104 out of 786 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 13.2%.
Is Aluminium of Egypt's Altman Z-Score too high?
Aluminium of Egypt's current Altman Z-Score of 12.61 is 312% above median its 10-year median of 3.06. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.32 to a high of 13.10. The Metals & Mining industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.41. Aluminium of Egypt's value of 12.61 is 269.8% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Aluminium of Egypt ranks #104 out of 786 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Aluminium of Egypt has a GF Score™ of 61/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Aluminium of Egypt's Altman Z-Score compare to AA and CENX?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Aluminium of Egypt ranks #104 out of 786 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Aluminium of Egypt in the top 13% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.41. Aluminium of Egypt's value of 12.61 is 269.8% above this benchmark. Historically, Aluminium of Egypt's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.32 to 13.10 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 3.06 vs. the industry median of 3.41, Aluminium of Egypt has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Metals & Mining companies is 3.41, based on 786 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Aluminium of Egypt's current Altman Z-Score of 12.61 is 269.8% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Aluminium of Egypt and its competitors. For the Metals & Mining industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 3.41 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Aluminium of Egypt's current Altman Z-Score is 12.61, which is 312% above median its own 10-year median of 3.06. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Aluminium of Egypt stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aluminium of Egypt (CAI:EGAL) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is E£188.83, compared to a current price of E£285.88 — trading 51.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 12.61, which is 312% above median its 10-year median of 3.06 and 269.8% above the Metals & Mining industry median of 3.41. Aluminium of Egypt's overall GF Score™ is 61/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Aluminium of Egypt (CAI:EGAL), the current Altman Z-Score is 12.61 as of Jul. 05, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Aluminium of Egypt (CAI:EGAL) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aluminium of Egypt stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of E£285.88 is trading 51.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of E£188.83.
GuruFocus considers Aluminium of Egypt to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for CAI:EGAL:
Altman Z-Score: 12.61 (312% above median its 10-year median of 3.06)
GF Value™: E£188.83 vs. price of E£285.88 (51.4% above fair value)
Industry Position: 269.8% above the Metals & Mining median (#104 of 786)
No single metric tells the full story. See the CAI:EGAL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Aluminium of Egypt SA produces, manufactures, markets, and distributes aluminum and related raw materials, supplies, alloys, and products both locally and internationally. The company also engages in import and export activities linked to its aluminum business. Additionally, it pursues real estate and financial investments and manages a stock portfolio of its available properties.
61GF Score
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