Aluminium of Egypt (CAI:EGAL) Beneish M-Score: -1.64 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


CAI:EGAL Aluminium of Egypt SA CAI:EGAL
67 GF Score
Price E£281.82
GF Value E£188.17
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Aluminium of Egypt Beneish M-Score?

Aluminium of Egypt CAI:EGAL -0.37% 67 Beneish M-Score is -1.64 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates CAI:EGAL with a GF Score™ of 67/100 and a GF Value™ of E£188.17 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 685 Metals & Mining companies, Aluminium of Egypt ranks worse than 74.6% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.64 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aluminium of Egypt's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CAI:EGAL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -8.12   Med: -2.23   Max: 247593.52
Current: -1.64

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Aluminium of Egypt was 247593.52. The lowest was -8.12. And the median was -2.23.


Aluminium of Egypt Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Aluminium of Egypt's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Aluminium of Egypt Beneish M-Score Chart

Aluminium of Egypt Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.80 0.00 0.00 -2.70 -1.05

Aluminium of Egypt Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.44 -1.05 -1.62 -1.99 -1.64

CAI:EGAL vs AA, CENX, CSTM: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Aluminum subindustry, Aluminium of Egypt's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aluminium of Egypt Beneish M-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Aluminium of Egypt's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aluminium of Egypt's Beneish M-Score falls into.


CAI:EGAL
67GF Score
Aluminium of Egypt SA CAI:EGAL
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Aluminium of Egypt Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Aluminium of Egypt for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.4072+0.528 * 1.2912+0.404 * 0.7089+0.892 * 1.1281+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9238+4.679 * 0.066761-0.327 * 1.0187
=-1.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was E£10,513 Mil.
Revenue was 12522.774 + 12882.014 + 11326.397 + 11120.278 = E£47,851 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4699.2 + 4181.333 + 3398.262 + 2845.035 = E£15,124 Mil.
Total Current Assets was E£31,610 Mil.
Total Assets was E£36,939 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was E£5,254 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was E£1 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was E£267 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was E£7,936 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was E£0 Mil.
Net Income was 4908.834 + 3122.747 + 2415.725 + 291.154 = E£10,738 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = E£0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 4300.376 + 1818.424 + 2397.85 + -244.246 = E£8,272 Mil.
Total Receivables was E£6,623 Mil.
Revenue was 10555.773 + 10172.661 + 11334.385 + 10354.763 = E£42,418 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3184.68 + 3773.952 + 5155.435 + 5196.221 = E£17,310 Mil.
Total Current Assets was E£23,765 Mil.
Total Assets was E£28,174 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was E£4,329 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was E£0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was E£256 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was E£5,942 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was E£0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(10513.376 / 47851.463) / (6622.862 / 42417.582)
=0.219709 / 0.156135
=1.4072

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(17310.288 / 42417.582) / (15123.83 / 47851.463)
=0.408092 / 0.316058
=1.2912

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (31609.936 + 5254.269) / 36938.796) / (1 - (23764.734 + 4328.992) / 28173.967)
=0.002019 / 0.002848
=0.7089

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=47851.463 / 42417.582
=1.1281

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 4328.992)) / (0.519 / (0.519 + 5254.269))
=0 / 9.9E-5
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(266.737 / 47851.463) / (255.957 / 42417.582)
=0.005574 / 0.006034
=0.9238

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 7935.818) / 36938.796) / ((0 + 5941.598) / 28173.967)
=0.214837 / 0.21089
=1.0187

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(10738.46 - 0 - 8272.404) / 36938.796
=0.066761

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Aluminium of Egypt has a M-score of -1.64 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.64 mean?
Aluminium of Egypt (CAI:EGAL) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.64 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Aluminium of Egypt and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Aluminium of Egypt ranks #511 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 74.6%.
Is Aluminium of Egypt's Beneish M-Score too high?
Aluminium of Egypt's current Beneish M-Score is -1.64. Based on the distribution chart, Aluminium of Egypt ranks #511 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Aluminium of Egypt has a GF Score™ of 67/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Aluminium of Egypt's Beneish M-Score compare to AA and CENX?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Aluminium of Egypt ranks #511 out of 685 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Aluminium of Egypt in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Aluminium of Egypt and its competitors. Aluminium of Egypt's current Beneish M-Score is -1.64. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Aluminium of Egypt stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aluminium of Egypt (CAI:EGAL) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is E£188.17, compared to a current price of E£281.82 — trading 49.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.64. Aluminium of Egypt's overall GF Score™ is 67/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Aluminium of Egypt (CAI:EGAL), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.64 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Aluminium of Egypt (CAI:EGAL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aluminium of Egypt stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of E£281.82 is trading 49.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of E£188.17. GuruFocus considers Aluminium of Egypt to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for CAI:EGAL:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.64
  • GF Value™: E£188.17 vs. price of E£281.82 (49.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 67/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the CAI:EGAL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Aluminium of Egypt Business Description

Address 48-50 Abdel Khalek Sarwat Street, Cairo, EGY
Aluminium of Egypt SA produces, manufactures, markets, and distributes aluminum and related raw materials, supplies, alloys, and products both locally and internationally. The company also engages in import and export activities linked to its aluminum business. Additionally, it pursues real estate and financial investments and manages a stock portfolio of its available properties.
67GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CAI:EGAL

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

E£281.82
Price
E£188.17
GF Value