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CNQ (Canadian Natural Resources) Altman Z-Score : 3.06 (As of Dec. 13, 2024)


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What is Canadian Natural Resources Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 3.13 is strong.

Canadian Natural Resources has a Altman Z-Score of 3.06, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Canadian Natural Resources's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CNQ' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.04   Med: 1.64   Max: 3.29
Current: 3.13

During the past 13 years, Canadian Natural Resources's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.29. The lowest was 1.04. And the median was 1.64.


Canadian Natural Resources Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Canadian Natural Resources's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Canadian Natural Resources Altman Z-Score Chart

Canadian Natural Resources Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.68 1.15 2.30 3.07 3.08

Canadian Natural Resources Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.02 3.08 3.29 3.22 3.12

Competitive Comparison of Canadian Natural Resources's Altman Z-Score

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Canadian Natural Resources's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Canadian Natural Resources's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Canadian Natural Resources's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Canadian Natural Resources's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Canadian Natural Resources Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Canadian Natural Resources's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0167+1.4*0.3815+3.3*0.1339+0.6*2.5884+1.0*0.5476
=3.06

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2024:
Total Assets was $55,427 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,001 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $5,926 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $21,148 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 2073.675 + 1646.115 + 1040.189 + 2204.83 = $6,965 Mil.
Interest Expense was -113.687 + -115.286 + -101.95 + -128.205 = $-459 Mil.
Revenue was 7678.281 + 7750.456 + 6960.697 + 7959.899 = $30,349 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $67,230 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $25,974 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(5001.476 - 5926.473)/55426.694
=-0.0167

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=21147.94/55426.694
=0.3815

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(6964.809 - -459.128)/55426.694
=0.1339

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=67229.760/25973.719
=2.5884

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=30349.333/55426.694
=0.5476

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Canadian Natural Resources has a Altman Z-Score of 3.06 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Canadian Natural Resources  (NYSE:CNQ) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Canadian Natural Resources Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Canadian Natural Resources Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
855 - 2nd Street South West, Suite 2100, Corporate Resources, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2P 4J8
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd is an independent crude oil and natural gas exploration, development, and production company. The Company's exploration and production operations are focused in North America, largely in Western Canada; the United Kingdom (UK) portion of the North Sea, and Cote d'Ivoire and South Africa in Offshore Africa. The Company's exploration and production activities are conducted in three geographic segments: North America, the North Sea, and Offshore Africa. These activities include exploring, developing, producing, and marketing crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas. The company has two divisions; Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading, Midstream and Refining. It derives a majority of its revenue from North America.