CITICCTPCY 88 Altman Z-Score is 0.32 as of Jun. 25, 2026, which is 7% above its 10-year median of 0.30. GuruFocus rates CTPCY with a GF Score™ of 88/100 and a GF Value™ of $5.73 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 544 Conglomerates companies, CITIC ranks worse than 91.36% on this metric.
The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Warning Sign:
Altman Z-score of 0.32 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.
CITIC has a Altman Z-Score of 0.32, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for CITIC's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
CTPCY'
s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.24 Med: 0.3 Max: 0.36
Current: 0.32
During the past 13 years, CITIC's highest Altman Z-Score was 0.36. The lowest was -0.24. And the median was 0.30.
CITIC (OTCPK:CTPCY) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
CITIC Altman Z-Score Related Terms
CITIC Altman Z-Score Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for CITIC's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Conglomerates subindustry, CITIC's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
CITIC Altman Z-Score vs Conglomerates Industry
For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, CITIC's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where CITIC's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
CITIC's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
0.1167
+
1.4
*
0.0345
+
3.3
*
0.0119
+
0.6
*
0.028
+
1.0
*
0.0726
=
0.32
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
CITIC (CTPCY) has a Altman Z-Score of 0.32 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on CITIC and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 0.30. According to the industry distribution chart, CITIC ranks #497 out of 544 companies in the Conglomerates industry, placing it in the top 91.4%.
Is CITIC's Altman Z-Score too high?
CITIC's current Altman Z-Score of 0.32 is near median its 10-year median of 0.30. The Conglomerates industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.07. CITIC's value of 0.32 is 84.5% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, CITIC ranks #497 out of 544 companies in the Conglomerates industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, CITIC has a GF Score™ of 88/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does CITIC's Altman Z-Score compare to HON and MMM?
According to the Conglomerates industry distribution chart, CITIC ranks #497 out of 544 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places CITIC in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.07. CITIC's value of 0.32 is 84.5% below this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 0.30 vs. the industry median of 2.07, CITIC has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Conglomerates company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Conglomerates companies is 2.07, based on 544 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. CITIC's current Altman Z-Score of 0.32 is 84.5% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on CITIC and its competitors. For the Conglomerates industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.07 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. CITIC's current Altman Z-Score is 0.32, which is near median its own 10-year median of 0.30. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is CITIC stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CITIC (CTPCY) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $5.73, compared to a current price of $7.88 — trading 37.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 0.32, which is near median its 10-year median of 0.30 and 84.5% below the Conglomerates industry median of 2.07. CITIC's overall GF Score™ is 88/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For CITIC (CTPCY), the current Altman Z-Score is 0.32 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is CITIC (CTPCY) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CITIC stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $7.88 is trading 37.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of $5.73.
GuruFocus considers CITIC to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for CTPCY:
Altman Z-Score: 0.32 (near median its 10-year median of 0.30)
GF Value™: $5.73 vs. price of $7.88 (37.5% above fair value)
Industry Position: 84.5% below the Conglomerates median (#497 of 544)
No single metric tells the full story. See the CTPCY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
CITIC Ltd is a Hong Kong-based conglomerate. The company has comprehensively deepened reforms, promoted high-quality development and continuously enhanced its value creation capability and shareholder returns. Along with its subsidiaries, it operates in the following reportable segments: Comprehensive Financial Services, Advanced Intelligent Manufacturing, Advanced Materials, New Consumption, and New-type urbanisation. Maximum revenue is generated from the Advanced Materials segment, which includes exploration, processing, and trading of resources and energy products, including iron ore, copper, and crude oil, and the manufacturing of special steels. Geographically, the group generates maximum revenue from the Chinese mainland, followed by Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan, and Overseas markets.
88GF Score
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