EXXAF (Exxaro Resources) Altman Z-Score: 2.77 (As of Jun. 26, 2026) — Near Median


EXXAF Exxaro Resources Ltd EXXAF
80 GF Score
Price $12.00
GF Value $11.48
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Exxaro Resources Altman Z-Score?

Exxaro Resources EXXAF -2.04% 80 Altman Z-Score is 2.77 as of Jun. 26, 2026, which is 6% above its 10-year median of 2.61. GuruFocus rates EXXAF with a GF Score™ of 80/100 and a GF Value™ of $11.48 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 129 Other Energy Sources companies, Exxaro Resources ranks better than 60.47% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.83 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Exxaro Resources has a Altman Z-Score of 2.77, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Exxaro Resources is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Exxaro Resources's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

EXXAF' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.11   Med: 2.61   Max: 3.63
Current: 2.83

During the past 13 years, Exxaro Resources's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.63. The lowest was 2.11. And the median was 2.61.


Exxaro Resources  (OTCPK:EXXAF) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Exxaro Resources Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Exxaro Resources Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Exxaro Resources's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Exxaro Resources Altman Z-Score Chart

Exxaro Resources Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.86 3.63 3.24 2.83 2.66

Exxaro Resources Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.24 0.00 2.83 0.00 2.66

EXXAF vs CNR: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Thermal Coal subindustry, Exxaro Resources's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Exxaro Resources Altman Z-Score vs Other Energy Sources Industry

For the Other Energy Sources industry and Energy sector, Exxaro Resources's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Exxaro Resources's Altman Z-Score falls into.


EXXAF
80GF Score
Exxaro Resources Ltd EXXAF
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Exxaro Resources Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Exxaro Resources's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2544+1.4*0.525+3.3*0.1297+0.6*1.4998+1.0*0.4047
=2.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2025:
Total Assets was $6,132 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,940 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $381 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $3,219 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was $728 Mil.
Interest Expense was $-68 Mil.
Revenue was $2,482 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $2,848 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,899 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1940.449 - 380.509)/6131.518
=0.2544

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=3219.27/6131.518
=0.525

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(727.75 - -67.725)/6131.518
=0.1297

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=2847.637/1898.685
=1.4998

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=2481.539/6131.518
=0.4047

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Exxaro Resources has a Altman Z-Score of 2.77 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 2.77 mean?
Exxaro Resources (EXXAF) has a Altman Z-Score of 2.77 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Exxaro Resources and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 2.61. Over the past decade, Exxaro Resources' Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.11 to 3.63. According to the industry distribution chart, Exxaro Resources ranks #51 out of 129 companies in the Other Energy Sources industry, placing it in the top 39.5%.
Is Exxaro Resources' Altman Z-Score too high?
Exxaro Resources' current Altman Z-Score of 2.77 is near median its 10-year median of 2.61. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.11 to a high of 3.63. The Other Energy Sources industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.21. Exxaro Resources' value of 2.77 is 25.3% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Exxaro Resources ranks #51 out of 129 companies in the Other Energy Sources industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Exxaro Resources has a GF Score™ of 80/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Exxaro Resources' Altman Z-Score compare to CNR?
According to the Other Energy Sources industry distribution chart, Exxaro Resources ranks #51 out of 129 companies for Altman Z-Score. This puts Exxaro Resources in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.21. Exxaro Resources' value of 2.77 is 25.3% above this benchmark. Historically, Exxaro Resources' own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.11 to 3.63 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.61 vs. the industry median of 2.21, Exxaro Resources has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for an Other Energy Sources company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Other Energy Sources companies is 2.21, based on 129 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Exxaro Resources's current Altman Z-Score of 2.77 is 25.3% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Exxaro Resources and its competitors. For the Other Energy Sources industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.21 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Exxaro Resources's current Altman Z-Score is 2.77, which is near median its own 10-year median of 2.61. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Exxaro Resources stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Exxaro Resources (EXXAF) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $11.48, compared to a current price of $12.00 — trading 4.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 2.77, which is near median its 10-year median of 2.61 and 25.3% above the Other Energy Sources industry median of 2.21. Exxaro Resources' overall GF Score™ is 80/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Exxaro Resources (EXXAF), the current Altman Z-Score is 2.77 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Exxaro Resources (EXXAF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Exxaro Resources stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $12.00 is trading 4.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of $11.48. GuruFocus considers Exxaro Resources to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for EXXAF:

  • Altman Z-Score: 2.77 (near median its 10-year median of 2.61)
  • GF Value™: $11.48 vs. price of $12.00 (4.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 80/100 with 8 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 25.3% above the Other Energy Sources median (#51 of 129)

No single metric tells the full story. See the EXXAF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Exxaro Resources Business Description

Other Exchanges EXX:South AfricaLCQ:Germany
Address 263B West Avenue, Die Hoewes, The conneXXion, Centurion, GT, ZAF, 0163
Exxaro Resources Ltd is one of the South Africa-based diversified resources companies. The company's operating segments are: Coal, Energy, Metals, and Others. The majority of its revenue comes from the coal segment, whose operations are located in the Waterberg and Mpumalanga regions and are split between coal commercial operations and coal-tied operations and produce thermal and metallurgical coal, Commercial Waterberg is comprised mainly of the Grootegeluk operation, Commercial Mpumalanga comprising the Belfast and Leeuwpan operations, and Tied comprising of the Matla mine supplying its entire coal supply to Eskom; and Others comprises of the other coal affiliated operation. Geographically, the company derives majority of its revenue from the RSA region ( Republic of South Africa).
80GF Score

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Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$12.00
Price
$11.48
GF Value