Guolian Minsheng Securities Co (HKSE:01456) Altman Z-Score: 0.57 (As of Aug. 26, 2026) — 26% Below Median

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HKSE:01456 Guolian Minsheng Securities Co Ltd HKSE:01456
88 GF Score
Price HK$3.85
GF Value HK$4.75
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Guolian Minsheng Securities Co Altman Z-Score?

Guolian Minsheng Securities Co HKSE:01456 +2.26% 88 Altman Z-Score is 0.57 as of Aug. 26, 2026, which is 26% below its 10-year median of 0.77. GuruFocus rates HKSE:01456 with a GF Score™ of 88/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$4.75 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 661 Capital Markets companies, Guolian Minsheng Securities Co ranks worse than 80.64% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 0.57 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Guolian Minsheng Securities Co has a Altman Z-Score of 0.57, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Guolian Minsheng Securities Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01456' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.48   Med: 0.77   Max: 0.98
Current: 0.57

During the past 12 years, Guolian Minsheng Securities Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 0.98. The lowest was 0.48. And the median was 0.77.


Guolian Minsheng Securities Co  (HKSE:01456) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Guolian Minsheng Securities Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Guolian Minsheng Securities Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Guolian Minsheng Securities Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Guolian Minsheng Securities Co Altman Z-Score Chart

Guolian Minsheng Securities Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.68 0.84 0.67 0.63 0.48

Guolian Minsheng Securities Co Quarterly Data
Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.01 0.63 0.46 0.18 0.48

HKSE:01456 vs MS, GS, SCHW: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Guolian Minsheng Securities Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Guolian Minsheng Securities Co Altman Z-Score vs Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Guolian Minsheng Securities Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Guolian Minsheng Securities Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.


HKSE:01456
88GF Score
Guolian Minsheng Securities Co Ltd HKSE:01456
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Guolian Minsheng Securities Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Guolian Minsheng Securities Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2202+1.4*0.0224+3.3*0.0102+0.6*0.3398+1.0*0.0402
=0.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2025:
Total Assets was HK$224,500 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$181,755 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$132,314 Mil.
Retained Earnings was HK$5,036 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 282.569 + 886.65 + 0 + -84.963 = HK$1,084 Mil.
Interest Expense was -477.664 + -383.793 + 0 + -342.61 = HK$-1,204 Mil.
Revenue was 2645.526 + 2554.641 + 0 + 3827.838 = HK$9,028 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was HK$56,431 Mil.
Total Liabilities was HK$166,091 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(181754.846 - 132314.433)/224500.335
=0.2202

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=5036.339/224500.335
=0.0224

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(1084.256 - -1204.067)/224500.335
=0.0102

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=56430.845/166090.874
=0.3398

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=9028.005/224500.335
=0.0402

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Guolian Minsheng Securities Co has a Altman Z-Score of 0.57 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 0.57 mean?
Guolian Minsheng Securities Co (HKSE:01456) has a Altman Z-Score of 0.57 as of Aug. 26, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Guolian Minsheng Securities Co and its competitors. This is 26% below median its historical median of 0.77. Over the past decade, Guolian Minsheng Securities Co's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.48 to 0.98. According to the industry distribution chart, Guolian Minsheng Securities Co ranks #533 out of 661 companies in the Capital Markets industry, placing it in the top 80.6%.
Is Guolian Minsheng Securities Co's Altman Z-Score too high?
Guolian Minsheng Securities Co's current Altman Z-Score of 0.57 is 26% below median its 10-year median of 0.77. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.48 to a high of 0.98. The Capital Markets industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.60. Guolian Minsheng Securities Co's value of 0.57 is 78.1% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Guolian Minsheng Securities Co ranks #533 out of 661 companies in the Capital Markets industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Guolian Minsheng Securities Co has a GF Score™ of 88/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Guolian Minsheng Securities Co's Altman Z-Score compare to MS and GS?
According to the Capital Markets industry distribution chart, Guolian Minsheng Securities Co ranks #533 out of 661 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Guolian Minsheng Securities Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.60. Guolian Minsheng Securities Co's value of 0.57 is 78.1% below this benchmark. Historically, Guolian Minsheng Securities Co's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.48 to 0.98 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.77 vs. the industry median of 2.60, Guolian Minsheng Securities Co has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Capital Markets company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Capital Markets companies is 2.60, based on 661 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Guolian Minsheng Securities Co's current Altman Z-Score of 0.57 is 78.1% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Guolian Minsheng Securities Co and its competitors. For the Capital Markets industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.60 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Guolian Minsheng Securities Co's current Altman Z-Score is 0.57, which is 26% below median its own 10-year median of 0.77. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Guolian Minsheng Securities Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Guolian Minsheng Securities Co (HKSE:01456) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$4.75, compared to a current price of HK$3.85 — trading 18.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 0.57, which is 26% below median its 10-year median of 0.77 and 78.1% below the Capital Markets industry median of 2.60. Guolian Minsheng Securities Co's overall GF Score™ is 88/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Guolian Minsheng Securities Co (HKSE:01456), the current Altman Z-Score is 0.57 as of Aug. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Guolian Minsheng Securities Co (HKSE:01456) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Guolian Minsheng Securities Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of HK$3.85 is trading 18.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of HK$4.75. GuruFocus considers Guolian Minsheng Securities Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:01456:

  • Altman Z-Score: 0.57 (26% below median its 10-year median of 0.77)
  • GF Value™: HK$4.75 vs. price of HK$3.85 (18.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 88/100 with 8 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 78.1% below the Capital Markets median (#533 of 661)

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:01456 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Guolian Minsheng Securities Co Business Description

Other Exchanges 34V:Germany601456:China
Address No. 8 Jinrong One Street, Jiangsu Province, Wuxi, CHN, 214000
Guolian Minsheng Securities Co Ltd is a China-based financial institution. The company's operating segments include Brokerage and wealth management, Credit transactions, Investment banking, Proprietary trading, Asset management and investment, and Other businesses. It generates maximum revenue from the Brokerage and wealth management segment and the Proprietary trading segment. The Brokerage and wealth management segment includes securities trading and brokering services, sales of wealth management products, investment consulting, and asset allocation. The Proprietary trading segment includes trading in financial products.
88GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:01456

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$3.85
Price
HK$4.75
GF Value