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HLMN (Hillman Solutions) Altman Z-Score : 1.82 (As of Dec. 13, 2024)


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What is Hillman Solutions Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.86 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Hillman Solutions has a Altman Z-Score of 1.82, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Hillman Solutions is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hillman Solutions's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HLMN' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.92   Med: 1.51   Max: 18.14
Current: 1.86

During the past 5 years, Hillman Solutions's highest Altman Z-Score was 18.14. The lowest was 0.92. And the median was 1.51.


Hillman Solutions Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hillman Solutions's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hillman Solutions Altman Z-Score Chart

Hillman Solutions Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
- 0.92 1.53 1.37 1.66

Hillman Solutions Quarterly Data
Dec19 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.52 1.66 1.80 1.64 1.79

Competitive Comparison of Hillman Solutions's Altman Z-Score

For the Tools & Accessories subindustry, Hillman Solutions's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hillman Solutions's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Hillman Solutions's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hillman Solutions's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Hillman Solutions Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Hillman Solutions's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1482+1.4*-0.0908+3.3*0.0317+0.6*1.7561+1.0*0.6135
=1.82

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2024:
Total Assets was $2,398 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $624 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $269 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-218 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 11.806 + 17.649 + -1.975 + -11.13 = $16 Mil.
Interest Expense was -15.108 + -13.937 + -15.271 + -15.43 = $-60 Mil.
Revenue was 393.296 + 379.432 + 350.305 + 347.808 = $1,471 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $2,136 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,216 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(624.404 - 269.112)/2397.567
=0.1482

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-217.729/2397.567
=-0.0908

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(16.35 - -59.746)/2397.567
=0.0317

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=2135.960/1216.343
=1.7561

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=1470.841/2397.567
=0.6135

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Hillman Solutions has a Altman Z-Score of 1.82 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Hillman Solutions  (NAS:HLMN) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Hillman Solutions Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Hillman Solutions Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1280 Kemper Meadow Drive, Forest Park, OH, USA, 45240
Hillman Solutions Corp is a provider of hardware-related products and related merchandising services to retail markets in North America. The company sells its products to hardware stores, home centers, mass merchants, pet supply stores, and other retail outlets. Its product lines include thousands of small parts such as fasteners and related hardware items; threaded rod and metal shapes; keys and accessories; builder's hardware; personal protective equipment, such as gloves and eye-wear; and identification items, such as tags and letters, numbers, and signs. The segments of the group are Hardware and Protective Solutions, which is the key revenue-generating segment; Robotics and Digital Solutions; and Canada. It has a business presence in the US, Canada and Mexico.
Executives
Scott Ride officer: President, Hillman Canada 10590 HAMILTON AVENUE, CINCINNATI OH 45231-0012
Aaron Jagdfeld director C/O GENERAC HOLDINGS INC., S45 W29290 HWY.59, WAUKESHA WI 53187
Jon Adinolfi officer: Div President, Hillman US 10590 HAMILTON AVENUE, CINCINNATI OH 45231-0012
Aaron Jerrod Parker officer: VP - Human Resources 1280 KEMPER MEADOW DR., FOREST PARK OH 45240
Randall J Fagundo officer: See Remarks 4870 STERLING DR, C/O AMERICAN COIN MERCHANDISING INC, BOULDER CO 80301
Gary Seeds officer: EVP, Sales and Field Service 10590 HAMILTON AVENUE, CINCINNATI OH 45231-0012
John W Swygert director OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET, INC., 6295 ALLENTOWN BLVD., SUITE 1, HARRISBURG PA 17112
Diane Honda director C/O BARRACUDA NETWORKS, INC., 3175 S. WINCHESTER BLVD., CAMPBELL CA 95008
Ccmp Capital, Lp 10 percent owner 245 PARK AVENUE, 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10167
Robert O. Kraft officer: CFO and Treasurer ONE CVS DRIVE, WOONSOCKET RI 02895
Douglas Cahill director, officer: COB, President and CEO 1040 CHANCERY LANE, NASHVILLED TN 37215
Scott Kelley Moore officer: Chief Technology Officer 10590 HAMILTON AVE., CINCINNATI OH 45231
Leary Dan O director 10590 HAMILTON AVENUE, CINCINNATI OH 45231-0012
Ccmp Capital Gp, Llc 10 percent owner 1 ROCKEFELLER PLAZA, 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10020
Ccmp Co-invest Iii A, L.p. 10 percent owner C/O CCMP CAPITAL ADVISORS, LLC, 245 PARK AVENUE, 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10167