Aygaz ASIST:AYGAZ -0.33%56 Altman Z-Score is 4.93 as of Jun. 30, 2026, which is 37% above its 10-year median of 3.60. GuruFocus rates IST:AYGAZ with a GF Score™ of 56/100 and a GF Value™ of ₺146.45 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 499 Utilities - Regulated companies, Aygaz AS ranks better than 92.59% on this metric.
The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Good Sign:
Altman Z-score of 4.88 is strong.
Aygaz AS has a Altman Z-Score of 4.93, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Aygaz AS's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
IST:AYGAZ'
s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.72 Med: 3.6 Max: 9.72
Current: 4.88
During the past 13 years, Aygaz AS's highest Altman Z-Score was 9.72. The lowest was 2.72. And the median was 3.60.
Aygaz AS (IST:AYGAZ) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Aygaz AS Altman Z-Score Related Terms
Aygaz AS Altman Z-Score Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Aygaz AS's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
IST:AYGAZ vs ATO, NI, UGI: Altman Z-Score Comparison
For the Utilities - Regulated Gas subindustry, Aygaz AS's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Aygaz AS Altman Z-Score vs Utilities - Regulated Industry
For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Aygaz AS's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Aygaz AS's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Aygaz AS's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
0.0647
+
1.4
*
0.7051
+
3.3
*
0.0802
+
0.6
*
4.2238
+
1.0
*
1.0666
=
4.93
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Aygaz AS (IST:AYGAZ) has a Altman Z-Score of 4.93 as of Jun. 30, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Aygaz AS and its competitors. This is 37% above median its historical median of 3.60. Over the past decade, Aygaz AS's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.72 to 9.72. According to the industry distribution chart, Aygaz AS ranks #37 out of 499 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, placing it in the top 7.4%.
Is Aygaz AS's Altman Z-Score too high?
Aygaz AS's current Altman Z-Score of 4.93 is 37% above median its 10-year median of 3.60. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.72 to a high of 9.72. The Utilities - Regulated industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.26. Aygaz AS's value of 4.93 is 291.3% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Aygaz AS ranks #37 out of 499 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Aygaz AS has a GF Score™ of 56/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Aygaz AS's Altman Z-Score compare to ATO and NI?
According to the Utilities - Regulated industry distribution chart, Aygaz AS ranks #37 out of 499 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Aygaz AS in the top 7% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.26. Aygaz AS's value of 4.93 is 291.3% above this benchmark. Historically, Aygaz AS's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.72 to 9.72 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 3.60 vs. the industry median of 1.26, Aygaz AS has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for an Utilities - Regulated company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Utilities - Regulated companies is 1.26, based on 499 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Aygaz AS's current Altman Z-Score of 4.93 is 291.3% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Aygaz AS and its competitors. For the Utilities - Regulated industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 1.26 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Aygaz AS's current Altman Z-Score is 4.93, which is 37% above median its own 10-year median of 3.60. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Aygaz AS stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aygaz AS (IST:AYGAZ) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₺146.45, compared to a current price of ₺213.50 — trading 45.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 4.93, which is 37% above median its 10-year median of 3.60 and 291.3% above the Utilities - Regulated industry median of 1.26. Aygaz AS's overall GF Score™ is 56/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Aygaz AS (IST:AYGAZ), the current Altman Z-Score is 4.93 as of Jun. 30, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Aygaz AS (IST:AYGAZ) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aygaz AS stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of ₺213.50 is trading 45.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₺146.45.
GuruFocus considers Aygaz AS to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for IST:AYGAZ:
Altman Z-Score: 4.93 (37% above median its 10-year median of 3.60)
GF Value™: ₺146.45 vs. price of ₺213.50 (45.8% above fair value)
Industry Position: 291.3% above the Utilities - Regulated median (#37 of 499)
No single metric tells the full story. See the IST:AYGAZ stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Aygaz AS is a gas company engaged in the sale and distribution of liquefied petroleum gas, or LPG, and natural gas products in Turkey. The group has three operating segments which are LPG and gas, cargo transportation and distribution, petroleum products, and electricity. It generates the majority of its revenue from the LPG and gas segment.
56GF Score
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