Transpaco (JSE:TPC) Altman Z-Score: 4.56 (As of Jun. 28, 2026) — Near Median


JSE:TPC Transpaco Ltd JSE:TPC
83 GF Score
Price R42.00
GF Value R35.38
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Transpaco Altman Z-Score?

Transpaco JSE:TPC 83 Altman Z-Score is 4.56 as of Jun. 28, 2026, which is 7% above its 10-year median of 4.26. GuruFocus rates JSE:TPC with a GF Score™ of 83/100 and a GF Value™ of R35.38 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 387 Packaging & Containers companies, Transpaco ranks better than 79.07% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 4.56 is strong.

Transpaco has a Altman Z-Score of 4.56, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Transpaco's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:TPC' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.61   Med: 4.26   Max: 5.16
Current: 4.56

During the past 13 years, Transpaco's highest Altman Z-Score was 5.16. The lowest was 3.61. And the median was 4.26.


Transpaco  (JSE:TPC) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Transpaco Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Transpaco Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Transpaco's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Transpaco Altman Z-Score Chart

Transpaco Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.61 3.89 4.49 4.46 4.42

Transpaco Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 4.46 0.00 4.42 0.00

JSE:TPC vs SW, PKG, AMCR: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Transpaco's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Transpaco Altman Z-Score vs Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Transpaco's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Transpaco's Altman Z-Score falls into.


JSE:TPC
83GF Score
Transpaco Ltd JSE:TPC
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Transpaco Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Transpaco's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.3009+1.4*0.6304+3.3*0.1412+0.6*2.1003+1.0*1.5877
=4.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2025:
Total Assets was R1,532 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R817 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R356 Mil.
Retained Earnings was R966 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was R200 Mil.
Interest Expense was R-16 Mil.
Revenue was R2,432 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was R1,169 Mil.
Total Liabilities was R557 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(817.114 - 356.187)/1532.019
=0.3009

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=965.717/1532.019
=0.6304

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(200.388 - -15.921)/1532.019
=0.1412

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=1169.254/556.698
=2.1003

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=2432.372/1532.019
=1.5877

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Transpaco has a Altman Z-Score of 4.56 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 4.56 mean?
Transpaco (JSE:TPC) has a Altman Z-Score of 4.56 as of Jun. 28, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Transpaco and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 4.26. Over the past decade, Transpaco's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 3.61 to 5.16. According to the industry distribution chart, Transpaco ranks #81 out of 387 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, placing it in the top 20.9%.
Is Transpaco's Altman Z-Score too high?
Transpaco's current Altman Z-Score of 4.56 is near median its 10-year median of 4.26. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 3.61 to a high of 5.16. The Packaging & Containers industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.66. Transpaco's value of 4.56 is 71.4% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Transpaco ranks #81 out of 387 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Transpaco has a GF Score™ of 83/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Transpaco's Altman Z-Score compare to SW and PKG?
According to the Packaging & Containers industry distribution chart, Transpaco ranks #81 out of 387 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Transpaco in the top 21% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.66. Transpaco's value of 4.56 is 71.4% above this benchmark. Historically, Transpaco's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 3.61 to 5.16 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 4.26 vs. the industry median of 2.66, Transpaco has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Packaging & Containers company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Packaging & Containers companies is 2.66, based on 387 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Transpaco's current Altman Z-Score of 4.56 is 71.4% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Transpaco and its competitors. For the Packaging & Containers industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.66 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Transpaco's current Altman Z-Score is 4.56, which is near median its own 10-year median of 4.26. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Transpaco stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Transpaco (JSE:TPC) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R35.38, compared to a current price of R42.00 — trading 18.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 4.56, which is near median its 10-year median of 4.26 and 71.4% above the Packaging & Containers industry median of 2.66. Transpaco's overall GF Score™ is 83/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Transpaco (JSE:TPC), the current Altman Z-Score is 4.56 as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Transpaco (JSE:TPC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Transpaco stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R42.00 is trading 18.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of R35.38. GuruFocus considers Transpaco to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for JSE:TPC:

  • Altman Z-Score: 4.56 (near median its 10-year median of 4.26)
  • GF Value™: R35.38 vs. price of R42.00 (18.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 83/100 with 7 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 71.4% above the Packaging & Containers median (#81 of 387)

No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:TPC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Transpaco Business Description

Address 331 - 6th Street, PO Box 39601, Bramley, 2018, Wynberg, Sandton, Johannesburg, GT, ZAF, 2090
Transpaco Ltd is a manufacturer, recycler, and distributor of paper and plastic packaging products. It operates in three business segments: Plastics Products, Paper and Board Products, and Property and Group Services. The company generates maximum revenue from the Plastic products segment. Its Plastic products segment manufactures flexible plastic packaging solutions. Some of its products include Retail vest-type plastic bags; Refuse bags; Tubing and sheeting; Scholastic stationery; Heavy duty cores; Yarn cores; Conical containers; Stretch film and others.
83GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JSE:TPC

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R42.00
Price
R35.38
GF Value