Altria GroupMEX:MO 66 Altman Z-Score is 4.99 as of Jun. 30, 2026, which is 36% above its 10-year median of 3.66. GuruFocus rates MEX:MO with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN951.86 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 47 Tobacco Products companies, Altria Group ranks better than 59.57% on this metric.
The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Good Sign:
Altman Z-score of 5.02 is strong.
Altria Group has a Altman Z-Score of 4.99, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Altria Group's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
MEX:MO'
s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.38 Med: 3.66 Max: 6.12
Current: 5.02
During the past 13 years, Altria Group's highest Altman Z-Score was 6.12. The lowest was 2.38. And the median was 3.66.
Altria Group (MEX:MO) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Altria Group Altman Z-Score Related Terms
Altria Group Altman Z-Score Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Altria Group's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
MEX:MO vs TPB, UVV, AIIR: Altman Z-Score Comparison
For the Tobacco subindustry, Altria Group's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Altria Group Altman Z-Score vs Tobacco Products Industry
For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Altria Group's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Altria Group's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Altria Group's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
-0.0927
+
1.4
*
1.0369
+
3.3
*
0.3453
+
0.6
*
3.1828
+
1.0
*
0.5984
=
4.99
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Altria Group (MEX:MO) has a Altman Z-Score of 4.99 as of Jun. 30, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Altria Group and its competitors. This is 36% above median its historical median of 3.66. Over the past decade, Altria Group's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.38 to 6.12. According to the industry distribution chart, Altria Group ranks #19 out of 47 companies in the Tobacco Products industry, placing it in the top 40.4%.
Is Altria Group's Altman Z-Score too high?
Altria Group's current Altman Z-Score of 4.99 is 36% above median its 10-year median of 3.66. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.38 to a high of 6.12. The Tobacco Products industry median Altman Z-Score is 4.29. Altria Group's value of 4.99 is 16.3% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Altria Group ranks #19 out of 47 companies in the Tobacco Products industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Altria Group has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Altria Group's Altman Z-Score compare to TPB and UVV?
According to the Tobacco Products industry distribution chart, Altria Group ranks #19 out of 47 companies for Altman Z-Score. This puts Altria Group in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 4.29. Altria Group's value of 4.99 is 16.3% above this benchmark. Historically, Altria Group's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.38 to 6.12 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 3.66 vs. the industry median of 4.29, Altria Group has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Tobacco Products company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Tobacco Products companies is 4.29, based on 47 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Altria Group's current Altman Z-Score of 4.99 is 16.3% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Altria Group and its competitors. For the Tobacco Products industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 4.29 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Altria Group's current Altman Z-Score is 4.99, which is 36% above median its own 10-year median of 3.66. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Altria Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Altria Group (MEX:MO) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN951.86, compared to a current price of MXN1,290.00 — trading 35.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 4.99, which is 36% above median its 10-year median of 3.66 and 16.3% above the Tobacco Products industry median of 4.29. Altria Group's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Altria Group (MEX:MO), the current Altman Z-Score is 4.99 as of Jun. 30, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Altria Group (MEX:MO) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Altria Group stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of MXN1,290.00 is trading 35.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN951.86.
GuruFocus considers Altria Group to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for MEX:MO:
Altman Z-Score: 4.99 (36% above median its 10-year median of 3.66)
GF Value™: MXN951.86 vs. price of MXN1,290.00 (35.5% above fair value)
Industry Position: 16.3% above the Tobacco Products median (#19 of 47)
No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:MO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Altria comprises Philip Morris USA, U.S. Smokeless Tobacco, John Middleton, Horizon Innovations, and Helix Innovations. Through its tobacco subsidiaries, Altria maintains the leading position in cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the United States and the number-two spot in machine-made cigars. The company's Marlboro brand is the leading cigarette brand in the US with 40% share in 2024. Beyond its core business, it holds an 8% interest in the world's largest brewer, Anheuser-Busch InBev, and a 41% stake in cannabis manufacturer Cronos. In reduced-risk products, it acquired vaping company Njoy Holdings in 2023, operates a joint venture with Japan Tobacco in the heated tobacco category for the US, and sells the On brand in nicotine pouches.
66GF Score
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