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Constellation Brands (MEX:STZ) Altman Z-Score : 3.12 (As of Dec. 13, 2024)


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What is Constellation Brands Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 3.16 is strong.

Constellation Brands has a Altman Z-Score of 3.12, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Constellation Brands's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:STZ' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.34   Med: 3.08   Max: 3.63
Current: 3.16

During the past 13 years, Constellation Brands's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.63. The lowest was 2.34. And the median was 3.08.


Constellation Brands Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Constellation Brands's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Constellation Brands Altman Z-Score Chart

Constellation Brands Annual Data
Trend Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23 Feb24
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.34 3.43 3.02 2.76 3.23

Constellation Brands Quarterly Data
Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.35 3.19 3.23 3.37 3.17

Competitive Comparison of Constellation Brands's Altman Z-Score

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Constellation Brands's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Constellation Brands's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Constellation Brands's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Constellation Brands's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Constellation Brands Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Constellation Brands's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0318+1.4*0.5515+3.3*0.036+0.6*2.9846+1.0*0.4003
=3.12

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Aug. 2024:
Total Assets was MXN455,247 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN71,935 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN57,476 Mil.
Retained Earnings was MXN251,050 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -26325.664 + 15648.075 + 8402.771 + 11309.908 = MXN9,035 Mil.
Interest Expense was -2051.453 + -1746.983 + -1746.739 + -1810.558 = MXN-7,356 Mil.
Revenue was 57576.788 + 45234.629 + 36490.474 + 42933.864 = MXN182,236 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was MXN878,583 Mil.
Total Liabilities was MXN294,368 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(71934.986 - 57476.188)/455246.995
=0.0318

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=251050.498/455246.995
=0.5515

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(9035.09 - -7355.733)/455246.995
=0.036

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=878583.360/294367.716
=2.9846

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=182235.755/455246.995
=0.4003

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Constellation Brands has a Altman Z-Score of 3.12 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Constellation Brands  (MEX:STZ) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Constellation Brands Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Constellation Brands Business Description

Address
207 High Point Drive, Building 100, Victor, New York, NY, USA, 14564
Constellation Brands is the largest provider of alcoholic beverages across the beer, wine, and spirits categories in the us, generating 82% of revenue from Mexican beer imports under top-selling brands such as Modelo and Corona. The rest of the business includes some remaining wine and spirits brands, categories where the company continue to prune assets in recent years. With its exclusive rights tied to the Mexican beer brands effective only in the us, the firm has little revenue exposure to international markets. Constellation owns a 26% stake in no-moat Canopy Growth, a medicinal and recreational cannabis producer in Canada, and has a 50/50 joint venture with glass manufacturer Owens-Illinois in Mexico.