Mumias Sugar Co (NAI:MSC) Altman Z-Score: -5.53 (As of Jul. 01, 2026)


NAI:MSC Mumias Sugar Co Ltd NAI:MSC
6 GF Score
Price KES0.28
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What is Mumias Sugar Co Altman Z-Score?

Mumias Sugar Co NAI:MSC 6 Altman Z-Score is -5.53 as of Jul. 01, 2026. GuruFocus rates NAI:MSC with a GF Score™ of 6/100.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Mumias Sugar Co has a Altman Z-Score of -5.53, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Mumias Sugar Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:


Mumias Sugar Co  (NAI:MSC) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Mumias Sugar Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Mumias Sugar Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Mumias Sugar Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Mumias Sugar Co Altman Z-Score Chart

Mumias Sugar Co Annual Data
Trend Jun09 Jun10 Jun11 Jun12 Jun13 Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.50 -1.05 -0.86 -2.24 -5.51

Mumias Sugar Co Semi-Annual Data
Jun09 Jun10 Jun11 Jun12 Jun13 Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.50 -1.05 -0.86 -2.24 -5.51

Mumias Sugar Co Altman Z-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Confectioners subindustry, Mumias Sugar Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mumias Sugar Co Altman Z-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Mumias Sugar Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mumias Sugar Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.


NAI:MSC
6GF Score
Mumias Sugar Co Ltd NAI:MSC
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Mumias Sugar Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Mumias Sugar Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-1.3349+1.4*-1.4729+3.3*-0.5938+0.6*0.0142+1.0*0.0876
=-5.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2018:
Total Assets was KES15,736 Mil.
Total Current Assets was KES628 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was KES21,633 Mil.
Retained Earnings was KES-23,177 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was KES-10,112 Mil.
Interest Expense was KES-769 Mil.
Revenue was KES1,379 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was KES428 Mil.
Total Liabilities was KES30,121 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(628.242 - 21632.991)/15735.609
=-1.3349

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-23177.404/15735.609
=-1.4729

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-10111.962 - -768.613)/15735.609
=-0.5938

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=428.400/30120.712
=0.0142

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=1379.223/15735.609
=0.0876

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Mumias Sugar Co has a Altman Z-Score of -5.53 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of -5.53 mean?
Mumias Sugar Co (NAI:MSC) has a Altman Z-Score of -5.53 as of Jul. 01, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Mumias Sugar Co and its competitors.
Is Mumias Sugar Co's Altman Z-Score too high?
Mumias Sugar Co's current Altman Z-Score is -5.53. Overall, Mumias Sugar Co has a GF Score™ of 6/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Mumias Sugar Co's Altman Z-Score compare to competitors?
Mumias Sugar Co's Altman Z-Score of -5.53 can be compared against companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.83. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Consumer Packaged Goods companies is 2.83, based on 1,928 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Mumias Sugar Co and its competitors. For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.83 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Mumias Sugar Co's current Altman Z-Score is -5.53. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Mumias Sugar Co stock overvalued right now?
Mumias Sugar Co (NAI:MSC) has a current Altman Z-Score of -5.53. The current Altman Z-Score is -5.53. Mumias Sugar Co's overall GF Score™ is 6/100. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Mumias Sugar Co (NAI:MSC), the current Altman Z-Score is -5.53 as of Jul. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Mumias Sugar Co Business Description

Address Kakamega-Bungoma Road, P. O Box Private Bag, Kakamega County, Mumias, KEN
Mumias Sugar Co Ltd is engaged in the production and sale of sugar, ethanol, water. The company is also engaged in the generation and sale of electricity, and also sells bottled drinking water. Its segments include Sugar; Energy; Ethanol and Water in which Sugar segment generates most of the revenue.
6GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NAI:MSC

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