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Allison Transmission Holdings (Allison Transmission Holdings) Altman Z-Score : 2.25 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Allison Transmission Holdings Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.33 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Allison Transmission Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 2.25, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Allison Transmission Holdings is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Allison Transmission Holdings's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ALSN' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.32   Med: 1.74   Max: 2.33
Current: 2.33

During the past 13 years, Allison Transmission Holdings's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.33. The lowest was 1.32. And the median was 1.74.


Allison Transmission Holdings Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Allison Transmission Holdings's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Allison Transmission Holdings Altman Z-Score Chart

Allison Transmission Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.98 1.43 1.32 1.55 2.03

Allison Transmission Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.55 1.67 1.91 2.01 2.03

Competitive Comparison of Allison Transmission Holdings's Altman Z-Score

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Allison Transmission Holdings's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Allison Transmission Holdings's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Allison Transmission Holdings's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Allison Transmission Holdings's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Allison Transmission Holdings Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Allison Transmission Holdings's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1491+1.4*-0.125+3.3*0.1859+0.6*1.721+1.0*0.604
=2.25

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $5,025 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,250 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $501 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-628 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 206 + 193 + 216 + 212 = $827 Mil.
Interest Expense was -24 + -27 + -28 + -28 = $-107 Mil.
Revenue was 775 + 736 + 783 + 741 = $3,035 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $6,526 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $3,792 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1250 - 501)/5025
=0.1491

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-628/5025
=-0.125

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(827 - -107)/5025
=0.1859

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=6526.205/3792
=1.721

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=3035/5025
=0.604

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Allison Transmission Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 2.25 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Allison Transmission Holdings  (NYSE:ALSN) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Allison Transmission Holdings Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Allison Transmission Holdings (Allison Transmission Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One Allison Way, Indianapolis, IN, USA, 46222
Allison Transmission is the largest manufacturer of fully automatic transmissions for commercial vehicles. The company's automatic transmissions allow customers to achieve better fuel and operator efficiency than less expensive manual and automated manual transmissions. Allison serves several end markets, including on- and off-highway equipment and military vehicles. Its on-highway business has approximately 60% global market share. The company's transmissions can be found in Class 4 through Class 8 trucks, buses, and a limited number of large passenger vehicles (heavy-duty pickup trucks and motor homes). Allison also produces electric hybrid propulsion systems and is developing e-powertrains.
Executives
John Coll officer: SVP, Global MSS ONE ALLISON WAY, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46222
G Frederick Bohley officer: SVP, CFO & Treasurer ONE ALLISON WAY, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46222
Niekerk Teresa Van officer: VP, Global Purchasing & SQ ONE ALLISON WAY, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46222
Ryan A. Milburn officer: VP, Product Engineering ONE ALLISON WAY, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46222
Thomas Eifert officer: VP, Program Mgmt & Prod Pln ONE ALLISON WAY, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46222
Eric C. Scroggins officer: VP, Gen. Counsel and Secretary ONE ALLISON WAY, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46222
David S. Graziosi officer: Exec VP, CFO and Treasurer ONE ALLISON WAY, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46222
Gustave Perna director ONE ALLISON WAY, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46222
Philip J Christman director 3240 S. CENTRAL AVENUE, CICERO IL 60804
Krishna Shivram director C/O WEATHERFORD INTERNATIONAL PLC, 2000 ST JAMES PLACE, HOUSTON TX 77056
Sasha Ostojic director ONE ALLISON WAY, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46222
D. Scott Barbour director C/O ADVANCED DRAINAGE SYSTEMS, INC., 4640 TRUEMAN BOULEVARD, HILLIARD OH 43026
Rafael Basso officer: VP, Operations ONE ALLISON WAY, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46222
Carolann I Haznedar director 350 POPLAR CHURCH ROAD, CAMP HILL PA 17011
Dana Jh Pittard officer: VP, Defense Programs ONE ALLISON WAY, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46222