ALSN (Allison Transmission Holdings) Altman Z-Score: 1.76 (As of Jun. 25, 2026) — Near Median


ALSN Allison Transmission Holdings Inc ALSN
95 GF Score
Price $119.68
GF Value $124.08
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Allison Transmission Holdings Altman Z-Score?

Allison Transmission Holdings ALSN +2.29% 95 Altman Z-Score is 1.76 as of Jun. 25, 2026, which is 1% above its 10-year median of 1.75. GuruFocus rates ALSN with a GF Score™ of 95/100 and a GF Value™ of $124.08 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,313 Vehicles & Parts companies, Allison Transmission Holdings ranks worse than 70.6% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.74 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Allison Transmission Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 1.76, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Allison Transmission Holdings's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ALSN' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.31   Med: 1.75   Max: 2.89
Current: 1.74

During the past 13 years, Allison Transmission Holdings's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.89. The lowest was 1.31. And the median was 1.75.


Allison Transmission Holdings  (NYSE:ALSN) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Allison Transmission Holdings Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Allison Transmission Holdings Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Allison Transmission Holdings's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Allison Transmission Holdings Altman Z-Score Chart

Allison Transmission Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.32 1.55 2.03 2.89 2.48

Allison Transmission Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.71 2.72 2.53 2.48 1.74

ALSN vs ALV, MBLY, LEA: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Allison Transmission Holdings's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Allison Transmission Holdings Altman Z-Score vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Allison Transmission Holdings's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Allison Transmission Holdings's Altman Z-Score falls into.


ALSN
95GF Score
Allison Transmission Holdings Inc ALSN
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Allison Transmission Holdings Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Allison Transmission Holdings's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1212+1.4*0.0033+3.3*0.0959+0.6*1.4597+1.0*0.4194
=1.76

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was $8,703 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,302 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,247 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $29 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 132 + 147 + 182 + 242 = $703 Mil.
Interest Expense was -61 + -25 + -24 + -22 = $-132 Mil.
Revenue was 1406 + 737 + 693 + 814 = $3,650 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $9,926 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $6,800 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2302 - 1247)/8703
=0.1212

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=29/8703
=0.0033

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(703 - -132)/8703
=0.0959

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=9925.778/6800
=1.4597

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=3650/8703
=0.4194

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Allison Transmission Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 1.76 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 1.76 mean?
Allison Transmission Holdings (ALSN) has a Altman Z-Score of 1.76 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Allison Transmission Holdings and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 1.75. Over the past decade, Allison Transmission Holdings' Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.31 to 2.89. According to the industry distribution chart, Allison Transmission Holdings ranks #927 out of 1313 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, placing it in the top 70.6%.
Is Allison Transmission Holdings' Altman Z-Score too high?
Allison Transmission Holdings' current Altman Z-Score of 1.76 is near median its 10-year median of 1.75. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.31 to a high of 2.89. The Vehicles & Parts industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.56. Allison Transmission Holdings' value of 1.76 is 31.3% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Allison Transmission Holdings ranks #927 out of 1313 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Allison Transmission Holdings has a GF Score™ of 95/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Allison Transmission Holdings' Altman Z-Score compare to ALV and MBLY?
According to the Vehicles & Parts industry distribution chart, Allison Transmission Holdings ranks #927 out of 1313 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Allison Transmission Holdings in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.56. Allison Transmission Holdings' value of 1.76 is 31.3% below this benchmark. Historically, Allison Transmission Holdings' own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.31 to 2.89 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.75 vs. the industry median of 2.56, Allison Transmission Holdings has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Vehicles & Parts company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Vehicles & Parts companies is 2.56, based on 1,313 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Allison Transmission Holdings's current Altman Z-Score of 1.76 is 31.3% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Allison Transmission Holdings and its competitors. For the Vehicles & Parts industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.56 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Allison Transmission Holdings's current Altman Z-Score is 1.76, which is near median its own 10-year median of 1.75. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Allison Transmission Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Allison Transmission Holdings (ALSN) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $124.08, compared to a current price of $119.68 — trading 3.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 1.76, which is near median its 10-year median of 1.75 and 31.3% below the Vehicles & Parts industry median of 2.56. Allison Transmission Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 95/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Allison Transmission Holdings (ALSN), the current Altman Z-Score is 1.76 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Allison Transmission Holdings (ALSN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Allison Transmission Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $119.68 is trading 3.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of $124.08. GuruFocus considers Allison Transmission Holdings to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for ALSN:

  • Altman Z-Score: 1.76 (near median its 10-year median of 1.75)
  • GF Value™: $124.08 vs. price of $119.68 (3.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 95/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 31.3% below the Vehicles & Parts median (#927 of 1313)

No single metric tells the full story. See the ALSN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Allison Transmission Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges 1A7:Germany
Address One Allison Way, Indianapolis, IN, USA, 46222
Allison Transmission is the largest manufacturer of fully automatic transmissions for medium- and heavy-duty commercial vehicles. Its automatic transmissions allow customers to achieve better fuel and operator efficiency than less expensive manual and automated manual transmissions. Allison serves several end markets, including on- and off-highway equipment and military vehicles. Its on-highway business commands approximately 60% global market share. The company's transmissions can be found in Class 4-8 trucks, buses, and a limited number of large passenger vehicles (heavy-duty pickup trucks and motorhomes). Allison also produces commercial hybrid propulsion systems and is developing fully electric powertrains.
95GF Score

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Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$119.68
Price
$124.08
GF Value