Lily Group Co (SHSE:603823) Altman Z-Score: 22.99 (As of Jul. 13, 2026) — 371% Above Median

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SHSE:603823 Lily Group Co Ltd SHSE:603823
58 GF Score
Price ¥66.00
GF Value ¥10.43
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 9 Warning Signs
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What is Lily Group Co Altman Z-Score?

Lily Group Co SHSE:603823 -0.24% 58 Altman Z-Score is 22.99 as of Jul. 13, 2026, which is 371% above its 10-year median of 4.88. GuruFocus rates SHSE:603823 with a GF Score™ of 58/100 and a GF Value™ of ¥10.43 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,562 Chemicals companies, Lily Group Co ranks better than 95.71% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 23.04 is strong.

Lily Group Co has a Altman Z-Score of 22.99, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lily Group Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:603823' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.32   Med: 4.88   Max: 23.04
Current: 23.04

During the past 13 years, Lily Group Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 23.04. The lowest was 1.32. And the median was 4.88.


Lily Group Co  (SHSE:603823) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Lily Group Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Lily Group Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Lily Group Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Lily Group Co Altman Z-Score Chart

Lily Group Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.29 4.55 4.26 4.63 7.15

Lily Group Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.35 6.09 7.57 7.15 6.88

SHSE:603823 vs LIN, SHW, ECL: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Lily Group Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lily Group Co Altman Z-Score vs Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Lily Group Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lily Group Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.


SHSE:603823
58GF Score
Lily Group Co Ltd SHSE:603823
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Lily Group Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Lily Group Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.4115+1.4*0.4536+3.3*0.0625+0.6*35.0616+1.0*0.6174
=22.99

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was ¥3,490 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥2,157 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥721 Mil.
Retained Earnings was ¥1,583 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 56.656 + 39.97 + 48.707 + 68.09 = ¥213 Mil.
Interest Expense was -1.133 + -1.817 + -0.581 + -1.121 = ¥-5 Mil.
Revenue was 572.865 + 512.68 + 512.449 + 556.681 = ¥2,155 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was ¥27,480 Mil.
Total Liabilities was ¥784 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2157.424 - 721.357)/3490.018
=0.4115

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=1583.194/3490.018
=0.4536

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(213.423 - -4.652)/3490.018
=0.0625

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=27480.268/783.77
=35.0616

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=2154.675/3490.018
=0.6174

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Lily Group Co has a Altman Z-Score of 22.99 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 22.99 mean?
Lily Group Co (SHSE:603823) has a Altman Z-Score of 22.99 as of Jul. 13, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Lily Group Co and its competitors. This is 371% above median its historical median of 4.88. Over the past decade, Lily Group Co's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.32 to 23.04. According to the industry distribution chart, Lily Group Co ranks #67 out of 1562 companies in the Chemicals industry, placing it in the top 4.3%.
Is Lily Group Co's Altman Z-Score too high?
Lily Group Co's current Altman Z-Score of 22.99 is 371% above median its 10-year median of 4.88. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.32 to a high of 23.04. The Chemicals industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.14. Lily Group Co's value of 22.99 is 632.2% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Lily Group Co ranks #67 out of 1562 companies in the Chemicals industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Lily Group Co has a GF Score™ of 58/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Lily Group Co's Altman Z-Score compare to LIN and SHW?
According to the Chemicals industry distribution chart, Lily Group Co ranks #67 out of 1562 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Lily Group Co in the top 4% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.14. Lily Group Co's value of 22.99 is 632.2% above this benchmark. Historically, Lily Group Co's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.32 to 23.04 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 4.88 vs. the industry median of 3.14, Lily Group Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Chemicals company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Chemicals companies is 3.14, based on 1,562 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Lily Group Co's current Altman Z-Score of 22.99 is 632.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Lily Group Co and its competitors. For the Chemicals industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 3.14 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Lily Group Co's current Altman Z-Score is 22.99, which is 371% above median its own 10-year median of 4.88. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Lily Group Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lily Group Co (SHSE:603823) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ¥10.43, compared to a current price of ¥66.00 — trading 532.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 22.99, which is 371% above median its 10-year median of 4.88 and 632.2% above the Chemicals industry median of 3.14. Lily Group Co's overall GF Score™ is 58/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Lily Group Co (SHSE:603823), the current Altman Z-Score is 22.99 as of Jul. 13, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Lily Group Co (SHSE:603823) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lily Group Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ¥66.00 is trading 532.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of ¥10.43. GuruFocus considers Lily Group Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for SHSE:603823:

  • Altman Z-Score: 22.99 (371% above median its 10-year median of 4.88)
  • GF Value™: ¥10.43 vs. price of ¥66.00 (532.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 58/100 with 9 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 632.2% above the Chemicals median (#67 of 1562)

No single metric tells the full story. See the SHSE:603823 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Lily Group Co Business Description

Address No. 1768, Jingwu Road, Qiantang New District, Zhejiang, Hangzhou, CHN, 311228
Lily Group Co Ltd is a chemical manufacturing company. Its products includes pigment for inks, pigment for coatings, pigment for plastics and intermediates. Further it is also involved in import and export trade, investment, and real estate businesses.
58GF Score

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Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

¥66.00
Price
¥10.43
GF Value