Thai Oil PCLTOIPY 78 Altman Z-Score is 2.03 as of Jun. 24, 2026, which is 9% below its 10-year median of 2.23. GuruFocus rates TOIPY with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of $13.59 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 897 Oil & Gas companies, Thai Oil PCL ranks better than 52.4% on this metric.
The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Warning Sign:
Altman Z-score of 2.02 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.
Thai Oil PCL has a Altman Z-Score of 2.03, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Thai Oil PCL is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Thai Oil PCL's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
TOIPY'
s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.81 Med: 2.23 Max: 4.31
Current: 2.02
During the past 13 years, Thai Oil PCL's highest Altman Z-Score was 4.31. The lowest was 1.81. And the median was 2.23.
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Thai Oil PCL Altman Z-Score Related Terms
Thai Oil PCL Altman Z-Score Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Thai Oil PCL's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Thai Oil PCL's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Thai Oil PCL Altman Z-Score vs Oil & Gas Industry
For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Thai Oil PCL's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Thai Oil PCL's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Thai Oil PCL's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
0.1047
+
1.4
*
0.3668
+
3.3
*
0.0862
+
0.6
*
0.408
+
1.0
*
0.8614
=
2.03
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Thai Oil PCL (TOIPY) has a Altman Z-Score of 2.03 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Thai Oil PCL and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 2.23. Over the past decade, Thai Oil PCL's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.81 to 4.31. According to the industry distribution chart, Thai Oil PCL ranks #427 out of 897 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 47.6%.
Is Thai Oil PCL's Altman Z-Score too high?
Thai Oil PCL's current Altman Z-Score of 2.03 is near median its 10-year median of 2.23. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.81 to a high of 4.31. The Oil & Gas industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.91. Thai Oil PCL's value of 2.03 is 6.3% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Thai Oil PCL ranks #427 out of 897 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Thai Oil PCL has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Thai Oil PCL's Altman Z-Score compare to VLO and MPC?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Thai Oil PCL ranks #427 out of 897 companies for Altman Z-Score. This puts Thai Oil PCL in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.91. Thai Oil PCL's value of 2.03 is 6.3% above this benchmark. Historically, Thai Oil PCL's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.81 to 4.31 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.23 vs. the industry median of 1.91, Thai Oil PCL has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for an Oil & Gas company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Oil & Gas companies is 1.91, based on 897 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Thai Oil PCL's current Altman Z-Score of 2.03 is 6.3% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Thai Oil PCL and its competitors. For the Oil & Gas industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 1.91 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Thai Oil PCL's current Altman Z-Score is 2.03, which is near median its own 10-year median of 2.23. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Thai Oil PCL stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Thai Oil PCL (TOIPY) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $13.59, compared to a current price of $14.40 — trading 6% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 2.03, which is near median its 10-year median of 2.23 and 6.3% above the Oil & Gas industry median of 1.91. Thai Oil PCL's overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Thai Oil PCL (TOIPY), the current Altman Z-Score is 2.03 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Thai Oil PCL (TOIPY) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Thai Oil PCL stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $14.40 is trading 6% above its estimated GF Value™ of $13.59.
GuruFocus considers Thai Oil PCL to be Fairly Valued.
Key valuation signals for TOIPY:
Altman Z-Score: 2.03 (near median its 10-year median of 2.23)
GF Value™: $13.59 vs. price of $14.40 (6% above fair value)
Industry Position: 6.3% above the Oil & Gas median (#427 of 897)
No single metric tells the full story. See the TOIPY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Thai Oil PCL operates an integrated business in oil refining and petrochemicals business. The company is engaged in oil refinery and distribution, petrochemicals, lube base oil and other businesses in domestic and overseas. It operates in the following reportable segments: Oil refinery, Lube base oil refinery, Aromatics and LAB, Solvent, Power generation, Ethanol, Olefins, and Others. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from the Oil refinery segment. Geographically, it generates the maximum revenue from Thailand, followed by Indonesia and other countries.
78GF Score
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