Sapporo Breweries (TSE:2501) Altman Z-Score: 2.39 (As of Jul. 04, 2026) — 103% Above Median


TSE:2501 Sapporo Breweries Ltd TSE:2501
72 GF Score
Price 円1,898.50
GF Value 円1,387.40
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Sapporo Breweries Altman Z-Score?

Sapporo Breweries TSE:2501 +1.88% 72 Altman Z-Score is 2.39 as of Jul. 04, 2026, which is 103% above its 10-year median of 1.18. GuruFocus rates TSE:2501 with a GF Score™ of 72/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,387.40 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 208 Beverages - Alcoholic companies, Sapporo Breweries ranks worse than 56.73% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.48 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Sapporo Breweries has a Altman Z-Score of 2.39, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Sapporo Breweries is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Sapporo Breweries's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:2501' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.78   Med: 1.18   Max: 2.48
Current: 2.48

During the past 13 years, Sapporo Breweries's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.48. The lowest was 0.78. And the median was 1.18.


Sapporo Breweries  (TSE:2501) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Sapporo Breweries Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Sapporo Breweries Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Sapporo Breweries's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Sapporo Breweries Altman Z-Score Chart

Sapporo Breweries Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.12 1.16 1.54 1.77 2.23

Sapporo Breweries Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.73 1.75 1.80 2.23 2.28

TSE:2501 vs BUD, STZ, TAP: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Sapporo Breweries's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sapporo Breweries Altman Z-Score vs Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Sapporo Breweries's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sapporo Breweries's Altman Z-Score falls into.


TSE:2501
72GF Score
Sapporo Breweries Ltd TSE:2501
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Sapporo Breweries Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Sapporo Breweries's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1966+1.4*0.1239+3.3*0.0436+0.6*1.7549+1.0*0.7793
=2.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was 円637,968 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円331,321 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円205,868 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円79,072 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -2068 + 5937 + 12370 + 8296 = 円24,535 Mil.
Interest Expense was -975 + -496 + -114 + -1704 = 円-3,289 Mil.
Revenue was 108979 + 124272 + 137893 + 126018 = 円497,162 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was 円740,114 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円421,734 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(331321 - 205868)/637968
=0.1966

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=79072/637968
=0.1239

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(24535 - -3289)/637968
=0.0436

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=740114.196/421734
=1.7549

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=497162/637968
=0.7793

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Sapporo Breweries has a Altman Z-Score of 2.39 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 2.39 mean?
Sapporo Breweries (TSE:2501) has a Altman Z-Score of 2.39 as of Jul. 04, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Sapporo Breweries and its competitors. This is 103% above median its historical median of 1.18. Over the past decade, Sapporo Breweries' Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.78 to 2.48. According to the industry distribution chart, Sapporo Breweries ranks #118 out of 208 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 56.7%.
Is Sapporo Breweries' Altman Z-Score too high?
Sapporo Breweries' current Altman Z-Score of 2.39 is 103% above median its 10-year median of 1.18. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.78 to a high of 2.48. The Beverages - Alcoholic industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.74. Sapporo Breweries' value of 2.39 is 12.8% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Sapporo Breweries ranks #118 out of 208 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Sapporo Breweries has a GF Score™ of 72/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Sapporo Breweries' Altman Z-Score compare to BUD and STZ?
According to the Beverages - Alcoholic industry distribution chart, Sapporo Breweries ranks #118 out of 208 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Sapporo Breweries in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.74. Sapporo Breweries' value of 2.39 is 12.8% below this benchmark. Historically, Sapporo Breweries' own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.78 to 2.48 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.18 vs. the industry median of 2.74, Sapporo Breweries has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Beverages - Alcoholic company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Beverages - Alcoholic companies is 2.74, based on 208 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Sapporo Breweries's current Altman Z-Score of 2.39 is 12.8% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Sapporo Breweries and its competitors. For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.74 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Sapporo Breweries's current Altman Z-Score is 2.39, which is 103% above median its own 10-year median of 1.18. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Sapporo Breweries stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Sapporo Breweries (TSE:2501) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,387.40, compared to a current price of 円1,898.50 — trading 36.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 2.39, which is 103% above median its 10-year median of 1.18 and 12.8% below the Beverages - Alcoholic industry median of 2.74. Sapporo Breweries' overall GF Score™ is 72/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Sapporo Breweries (TSE:2501), the current Altman Z-Score is 2.39 as of Jul. 04, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Sapporo Breweries (TSE:2501) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Sapporo Breweries stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円1,898.50 is trading 36.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,387.40. GuruFocus considers Sapporo Breweries to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:2501:

  • Altman Z-Score: 2.39 (103% above median its 10-year median of 1.18)
  • GF Value™: 円1,387.40 vs. price of 円1,898.50 (36.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 72/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 12.8% below the Beverages - Alcoholic median (#118 of 208)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:2501 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Sapporo Breweries Business Description

Other Exchanges SOOBF:USASBW:Germany
Address 4-20-1 Ebisu, Shibuya-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 150-8522
Sapporo Holdings Ltd is a Japan-based company engaged in producing and supplying alcoholic drinks as well as food products and related services. The company operates through three main segments: Alcoholic Beverages, Food and Beverages, and Real Estate. The Alcoholic Beverages segment handles production and sales of alcoholic drinks along with restaurant operations. The Food and Beverages segment covers the manufacturing and distribution of food items and bottled water. The Real Estate segment is engaged in property leasing activities. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Alcoholic Beverages segment.
72GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:2501

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,898.50
Price
円1,387.40
GF Value