Matsumoto (TSE:7901) Altman Z-Score: 0.54 (As of Jul. 07, 2026) — 60% Below Median


TSE:7901 Matsumoto Inc TSE:7901
49 GF Score
Price 円793.00
GF Value 円1,029.56
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Matsumoto Altman Z-Score?

Matsumoto TSE:7901 -0.50% 49 Altman Z-Score is 0.54 as of Jul. 07, 2026, which is 60% below its 10-year median of 1.36. GuruFocus rates TSE:7901 with a GF Score™ of 49/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,029.56 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 281 Forest Products companies, Matsumoto ranks worse than 91.81% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -0.08 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Matsumoto has a Altman Z-Score of 0.54, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Matsumoto's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:7901' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.67   Med: 1.36   Max: 2.22
Current: -0.08

During the past 13 years, Matsumoto's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.22. The lowest was -0.67. And the median was 1.36.


Matsumoto  (TSE:7901) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Matsumoto Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Matsumoto Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Matsumoto's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Matsumoto Altman Z-Score Chart

Matsumoto Annual Data
Trend Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23 Apr24 Apr25 Apr26
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.67 2.22 1.02 0.34 0.00

Matsumoto Quarterly Data
Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Apr26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.34 0.34 0.50 -0.06 0.00

Matsumoto Altman Z-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Matsumoto's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Matsumoto Altman Z-Score vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Matsumoto's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Matsumoto's Altman Z-Score falls into.


TSE:7901
49GF Score
Matsumoto Inc TSE:7901
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Matsumoto Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Matsumoto's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1484+1.4*0.0659+3.3*-0.108+0.6*0.6582+1.0*0.2292
=0.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Oct. 2025:
Total Assets was 円2,367.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円1,084.1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円733.0 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円156.0 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 0 + -130.856 + -134.681 + 0 = 円-265.5 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + -5.276 + -4.588 + 0 = 円-9.9 Mil.
Revenue was 0 + 159.751 + 382.914 + 0 = 円542.7 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was 円902.3 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円1,370.8 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1084.146 - 732.956)/2367.178
=0.1484

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=155.955/2367.178
=0.0659

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-265.537 - -9.864)/2367.178
=-0.108

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=902.251/1370.751
=0.6582

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=542.665/2367.178
=0.2292

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Matsumoto has a Altman Z-Score of 0.54 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 0.54 mean?
Matsumoto (TSE:7901) has a Altman Z-Score of 0.54 as of Jul. 07, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Matsumoto and its competitors. This is 60% below median its historical median of 1.36. According to the industry distribution chart, Matsumoto ranks #258 out of 281 companies in the Forest Products industry, placing it in the top 91.8%.
Is Matsumoto's Altman Z-Score too high?
Matsumoto's current Altman Z-Score of 0.54 is 60% below median its 10-year median of 1.36. The Forest Products industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.81. Matsumoto's value of 0.54 is 70.2% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Matsumoto ranks #258 out of 281 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Matsumoto has a GF Score™ of 49/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Matsumoto's Altman Z-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, Matsumoto ranks #258 out of 281 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Matsumoto in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.81. Matsumoto's value of 0.54 is 70.2% below this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 1.36 vs. the industry median of 1.81, Matsumoto has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Forest Products company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Forest Products companies is 1.81, based on 281 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Matsumoto's current Altman Z-Score of 0.54 is 70.2% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Matsumoto and its competitors. For the Forest Products industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 1.81 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Matsumoto's current Altman Z-Score is 0.54, which is 60% below median its own 10-year median of 1.36. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Matsumoto stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Matsumoto (TSE:7901) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,029.56, compared to a current price of 円793.00 — trading 23% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 0.54, which is 60% below median its 10-year median of 1.36 and 70.2% below the Forest Products industry median of 1.81. Matsumoto's overall GF Score™ is 49/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Matsumoto (TSE:7901), the current Altman Z-Score is 0.54 as of Jul. 07, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Matsumoto (TSE:7901) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Matsumoto stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円793.00 is trading 23% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,029.56. GuruFocus considers Matsumoto to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:7901:

  • Altman Z-Score: 0.54 (60% below median its 10-year median of 1.36)
  • GF Value™: 円1,029.56 vs. price of 円793.00 (23% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 49/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 70.2% below the Forest Products median (#258 of 281)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:7901 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Matsumoto Business Description

Address 1-2-1 Shanoki Moji Ward, Fukuoka Prefecture, Kitakyushu, JPN, 800-8555
Matsumoto Inc produces and sells graduation albums, as well as commercial printing products, such as posters, catalogs, and pamphlets. The company is also engaged in the digital picture albums and self-publishing business.
49GF Score

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Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円793.00
Price
円1,029.56
GF Value