Tokyo Soir Co (TSE:8040) Altman Z-Score: 1.98 (As of Jul. 17, 2026) — Near Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TSE:8040 Tokyo Soir Co Ltd TSE:8040
60 GF Score
Price 円1,024.00
GF Value 円477.91
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Tokyo Soir Co Altman Z-Score?

Tokyo Soir Co TSE:8040 -0.58% 60 Altman Z-Score is 1.98 as of Jul. 17, 2026, which is 2% above its 10-year median of 1.94. GuruFocus rates TSE:8040 with a GF Score™ of 60/100 and a GF Value™ of 円477.91 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,029 Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories companies, Tokyo Soir Co ranks worse than 62.2% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.98 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Tokyo Soir Co has a Altman Z-Score of 1.98, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Tokyo Soir Co is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tokyo Soir Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:8040' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.47   Med: 1.94   Max: 2.22
Current: 1.98

During the past 13 years, Tokyo Soir Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.22. The lowest was 0.47. And the median was 1.94.


Tokyo Soir Co  (TSE:8040) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Tokyo Soir Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Tokyo Soir Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Tokyo Soir Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Tokyo Soir Co Altman Z-Score Chart

Tokyo Soir Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.73 1.93 2.19 2.01 2.12

Tokyo Soir Co Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.22 2.17 1.98 2.12 2.00

TSE:8040 vs RL, LEVI, VFC: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Apparel Manufacturing subindustry, Tokyo Soir Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tokyo Soir Co Altman Z-Score vs Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Tokyo Soir Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tokyo Soir Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.


TSE:8040
60GF Score
Tokyo Soir Co Ltd TSE:8040
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Tokyo Soir Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Tokyo Soir Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.4252+1.4*0.1691+3.3*0.0247+0.6*0.973+1.0*0.5678
=1.98

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was 円14,485 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円8,848 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円2,689 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円2,449 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 439.448 + 0 + 0 + -85.913 = 円354 Mil.
Interest Expense was -2.111 + 0 + 0 + -2.371 = 円-4 Mil.
Revenue was 4763.508 + 0 + 0 + 3460.641 = 円8,224 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was 円3,544 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円3,642 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(8848.012 - 2689.201)/14484.999
=0.4252

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=2449.485/14484.999
=0.1691

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(353.535 - -4.482)/14484.999
=0.0247

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=3543.939/3642.39
=0.973

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=8224.149/14484.999
=0.5678

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Tokyo Soir Co has a Altman Z-Score of 1.98 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 1.98 mean?
Tokyo Soir Co (TSE:8040) has a Altman Z-Score of 1.98 as of Jul. 17, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Tokyo Soir Co and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 1.94. Over the past decade, Tokyo Soir Co's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.47 to 2.22. According to the industry distribution chart, Tokyo Soir Co ranks #640 out of 1029 companies in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry, placing it in the top 62.2%.
Is Tokyo Soir Co's Altman Z-Score too high?
Tokyo Soir Co's current Altman Z-Score of 1.98 is near median its 10-year median of 1.94. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.47 to a high of 2.22. The Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.49. Tokyo Soir Co's value of 1.98 is 20.5% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Tokyo Soir Co ranks #640 out of 1029 companies in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Tokyo Soir Co has a GF Score™ of 60/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Tokyo Soir Co's Altman Z-Score compare to RL and LEVI?
According to the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry distribution chart, Tokyo Soir Co ranks #640 out of 1029 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Tokyo Soir Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.49. Tokyo Soir Co's value of 1.98 is 20.5% below this benchmark. Historically, Tokyo Soir Co's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.47 to 2.22 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.94 vs. the industry median of 2.49, Tokyo Soir Co has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories companies is 2.49, based on 1,029 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Tokyo Soir Co's current Altman Z-Score of 1.98 is 20.5% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Tokyo Soir Co and its competitors. For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.49 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Tokyo Soir Co's current Altman Z-Score is 1.98, which is near median its own 10-year median of 1.94. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Tokyo Soir Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tokyo Soir Co (TSE:8040) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円477.91, compared to a current price of 円1,024.00 — trading 114.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 1.98, which is near median its 10-year median of 1.94 and 20.5% below the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry median of 2.49. Tokyo Soir Co's overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Tokyo Soir Co (TSE:8040), the current Altman Z-Score is 1.98 as of Jul. 17, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Tokyo Soir Co (TSE:8040) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tokyo Soir Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円1,024.00 is trading 114.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円477.91. GuruFocus considers Tokyo Soir Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:8040:

  • Altman Z-Score: 1.98 (near median its 10-year median of 1.94)
  • GF Value™: 円477.91 vs. price of 円1,024.00 (114.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 60/100 with 7 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 20.5% below the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories median (#640 of 1029)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:8040 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Tokyo Soir Co Business Description

Address 1-1-1 Minami-Aoyama, Minato-ku, West Wing Shin Aoyama Building, Tokyo, JPN, 107-8604
Tokyo Soir Co Ltd is engaged in the manufacture and sale of women's formal clothing and accessories. The company also operates department and chain stores.
60GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:8040

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,024.00
Price
円477.91
GF Value