TOC Co (TSE:8841) Altman Z-Score: 4.29 (As of Jul. 05, 2026) — 18% Above Median


TSE:8841 TOC Co Ltd TSE:8841
80 GF Score
Price 円968.00
GF Value 円832.55
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is TOC Co Altman Z-Score?

TOC Co TSE:8841 +0.83% 80 Altman Z-Score is 4.29 as of Jul. 05, 2026, which is 18% above its 10-year median of 3.63. GuruFocus rates TSE:8841 with a GF Score™ of 80/100 and a GF Value™ of 円832.55 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,731 Real Estate companies, TOC Co ranks better than 88.91% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 4.29 is strong.

TOC Co has a Altman Z-Score of 4.29, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for TOC Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:8841' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.99   Med: 3.63   Max: 4.29
Current: 4.29

During the past 13 years, TOC Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 4.29. The lowest was 1.99. And the median was 3.63.


TOC Co  (TSE:8841) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


TOC Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms


TOC Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for TOC Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

TOC Co Altman Z-Score Chart

TOC Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.56 3.69 4.12 3.81 3.80

TOC Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.81 3.98 4.33 4.15 3.80

TSE:8841 vs CBRE, BEKE, JLL: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, TOC Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


TOC Co Altman Z-Score vs Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, TOC Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TOC Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.


TSE:8841
80GF Score
TOC Co Ltd TSE:8841
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

TOC Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

TOC Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.221+1.4*0.6261+3.3*0.0282+0.6*4.8772+1.0*0.124
=4.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was 円122,226 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円32,388 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円5,377 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円76,527 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 813 + 1166 + 835 + 619 = 円3,433 Mil.
Interest Expense was -3 + -4 + -4 + -3 = 円-14 Mil.
Revenue was 4072 + 3952 + 3666 + 3465 = 円15,155 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was 円85,395 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円17,509 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(32388 - 5377)/122226
=0.221

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=76527/122226
=0.6261

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(3433 - -14)/122226
=0.0282

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=85394.524/17509
=4.8772

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=15155/122226
=0.124

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

TOC Co has a Altman Z-Score of 4.29 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 4.29 mean?
TOC Co (TSE:8841) has a Altman Z-Score of 4.29 as of Jul. 05, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on TOC Co and its competitors. This is 18% above median its historical median of 3.63. Over the past decade, TOC Co's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.99 to 4.29. According to the industry distribution chart, TOC Co ranks #192 out of 1731 companies in the Real Estate industry, placing it in the top 11.1%.
Is TOC Co's Altman Z-Score too high?
TOC Co's current Altman Z-Score of 4.29 is 18% above median its 10-year median of 3.63. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.99 to a high of 4.29. The Real Estate industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.31. TOC Co's value of 4.29 is 227.5% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, TOC Co ranks #192 out of 1731 companies in the Real Estate industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, TOC Co has a GF Score™ of 80/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does TOC Co's Altman Z-Score compare to CBRE and BEKE?
According to the Real Estate industry distribution chart, TOC Co ranks #192 out of 1731 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places TOC Co in the top 11% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.31. TOC Co's value of 4.29 is 227.5% above this benchmark. Historically, TOC Co's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.99 to 4.29 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 3.63 vs. the industry median of 1.31, TOC Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Real Estate company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Real Estate companies is 1.31, based on 1,731 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. TOC Co's current Altman Z-Score of 4.29 is 227.5% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on TOC Co and its competitors. For the Real Estate industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 1.31 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. TOC Co's current Altman Z-Score is 4.29, which is 18% above median its own 10-year median of 3.63. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is TOC Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, TOC Co (TSE:8841) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円832.55, compared to a current price of 円968.00 — trading 16.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 4.29, which is 18% above median its 10-year median of 3.63 and 227.5% above the Real Estate industry median of 1.31. TOC Co's overall GF Score™ is 80/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For TOC Co (TSE:8841), the current Altman Z-Score is 4.29 as of Jul. 05, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is TOC Co (TSE:8841) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, TOC Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円968.00 is trading 16.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円832.55. GuruFocus considers TOC Co to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:8841:

  • Altman Z-Score: 4.29 (18% above median its 10-year median of 3.63)
  • GF Value™: 円832.55 vs. price of 円968.00 (16.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 80/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 227.5% above the Real Estate median (#192 of 1731)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:8841 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


TOC Co Business Description

Other Exchanges T3O:Germany
Address 7-22-17 Nishi-Gotanda, Shinagawa-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 141-0031
TOC Co Ltd is a Japan-based company with three business segments: real estate, linen supply and laundry, and other. The real estate segment is engaged in planning, execution, and management of urban development projects. The linen supply and laundry segment is engaged in supplying various linens used in hotels and restaurants, and offering dry cleaning services. The other segment contains a pharmaceuticals business, operates a sports club and a bathing facility, includes retail and restaurant businesses, and engages in building maintenance services. The company generates most of its revenue from the real estate segment.
80GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:8841

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円968.00
Price
円832.55
GF Value