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Savient Pharmaceuticals (FRA:BY7) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : €-17.20 (As of Mar14)


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What is Savient Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar14, Savient Pharmaceuticals's earnings power value is €-17.20. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Savient Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Savient Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Savient Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Savient Pharmaceuticals Annual Data
Trend Dec03 Dec04 Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -89.54 -78.35 -35.87 -13.30 -16.95

Savient Pharmaceuticals Quarterly Data
Mar09 Jun09 Sep09 Dec09 Mar10 Jun10 Sep10 Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Mar14
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -16.95 -18.28 -17.59 -18.18 -17.19

Competitive Comparison of Savient Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Savient Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Savient Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Savient Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Savient Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Savient Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Savient Pharmaceuticals's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 7.95
DDA 0.31
Operating Margin % -1,442.03
SGA * 25% 10.58
Tax Rate % 9.51
Maintenance Capex 0.43
Cash and Cash Equivalents 7.97
Short-Term Debt 0.00
Long-Term Debt 198.01
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 72.14

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -1,442.03%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = €7.95 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -1,442.03%, Average Adjusted SGA = 10.58,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 7.95 * -1,442.03% +10.58 = €-104.069481486 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 9.51%, and "Normalized" EBIT = €-104.069481486 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -104.069481486 * ( 1 - 9.51% ) = €-94.172473796681 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.31 * 0.5 * 9.51% = €0.01473099 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -94.172473796681 + 0.01473099 = €-94.157742806681 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Savient Pharmaceuticals's Average Maintenance CAPEX = €0.43 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Savient Pharmaceuticals's current cash and cash equivalent = €7.97 Mil.
Savient Pharmaceuticals's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 198.01 + 0.00 = €198.005 Mil.
Savient Pharmaceuticals's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 72.14 Mil.

Savient Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar14 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -94.157742806681 - 0.43)/ 9%+7.97-198.005 )/72.14
=-17.20

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -17.202657574392-0.03 )/-17.202657574392
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Savient Pharmaceuticals  (FRA:BY7) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Savient Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Savient Pharmaceuticals (FRA:BY7) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Savient Pharmaceuticals, Inc., was founded in 1980. It develops, manufactures and markets products through the application of genetic engineering and related biotechnologies. The Company, and its wholly-owned Subsidiaries, is a specialty biopharmaceutical company focused on commercializing KRYSTEXXA (pegloticase) in the United States and completing the development and seeking regulatory approval outside of the United States for KRYSTEXXA, particularly in the European Union. It completed a promotional launch of KRYSTEXXA in the United States during the first quarter of 2011 with its sales force commencing field promotion to health care providers on February 28, 2011. The Company also sells and distributes branded and generic versions of oxandrolone, a drug used to promote weight gain following involuntary weight loss. The Company launched its authorized generic version of oxandrolone in December 2006 in response to the approval and launch of generic competition to Oxandrin. On January 1, 2012, KRYSTEXXA received a permanent J Code, which facilitates reimbursement to providers who treat patients suffering with RCG and who rely on Medicare and Medicaid. The manufacturing process for pegloticase, which is the drug substance of KRYSTEXXA, consists of the production through a recombinant process in which a genetically-engineered bacteria produces uricase, followed by its purification, PEGylation, further purification and formulation to produce the bulk pegloticase, which the company refers it as pegloticase drug substance. Pegloticase is aseptically filtered and filled into sterile, single dose vials to produce the KRYSTEXXA drug product. Its sales force targets rheumatologists and nephrologists with access to infusion centers and healthcare institutions, each of which treat adult patients suffering from RCG, as well as podiatrists who also treat patients with RCG. In March 2012, KRYSTEXXA was made available in the EU to healthcare professionals through a Named Patient Program. The Company sells its products to three drug wholesaler customers and various specialty distributors. Its research and development includes costs associated with the research and development of its KRYSTEXXA product prior to FDA approval and FDA-related post-marketing commitments for approved products (KRYSTEXXA post-approval). These costs mainly include pre-clinical and clinical studies and trials, personnel costs including compensation, consultants and contract research organizations, or CROs, quality control and assurance costs, regulatory costs and costs related to the development of commercial scale manufacturing capabilities for KRYSTEXXA, which also includes the costs of preparing Fujifilm to serve as its secondary source supplier of pegloticase drug substance for KRYSTEXXA in the United States. As of March 7, 2013, the company owned 14 issued U.S. patents and 154 issued foreign patents. It currently owns U.S. and several foreign registrations or applicat

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