GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Savient Pharmaceuticals (FRA:BY7) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Savient Pharmaceuticals (FRA:BY7) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of May. 15, 2024)


View and export this data going back to . Start your Free Trial

What is Savient Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Savient Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Savient Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Savient Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Savient Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Savient Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Savient Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Savient Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Savient Pharmaceuticals  (FRA:BY7) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Savient Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Savient Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Savient Pharmaceuticals (FRA:BY7) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Savient Pharmaceuticals, Inc., was founded in 1980. It develops, manufactures and markets products through the application of genetic engineering and related biotechnologies. The Company, and its wholly-owned Subsidiaries, is a specialty biopharmaceutical company focused on commercializing KRYSTEXXA (pegloticase) in the United States and completing the development and seeking regulatory approval outside of the United States for KRYSTEXXA, particularly in the European Union. It completed a promotional launch of KRYSTEXXA in the United States during the first quarter of 2011 with its sales force commencing field promotion to health care providers on February 28, 2011. The Company also sells and distributes branded and generic versions of oxandrolone, a drug used to promote weight gain following involuntary weight loss. The Company launched its authorized generic version of oxandrolone in December 2006 in response to the approval and launch of generic competition to Oxandrin. On January 1, 2012, KRYSTEXXA received a permanent J Code, which facilitates reimbursement to providers who treat patients suffering with RCG and who rely on Medicare and Medicaid. The manufacturing process for pegloticase, which is the drug substance of KRYSTEXXA, consists of the production through a recombinant process in which a genetically-engineered bacteria produces uricase, followed by its purification, PEGylation, further purification and formulation to produce the bulk pegloticase, which the company refers it as pegloticase drug substance. Pegloticase is aseptically filtered and filled into sterile, single dose vials to produce the KRYSTEXXA drug product. Its sales force targets rheumatologists and nephrologists with access to infusion centers and healthcare institutions, each of which treat adult patients suffering from RCG, as well as podiatrists who also treat patients with RCG. In March 2012, KRYSTEXXA was made available in the EU to healthcare professionals through a Named Patient Program. The Company sells its products to three drug wholesaler customers and various specialty distributors. Its research and development includes costs associated with the research and development of its KRYSTEXXA product prior to FDA approval and FDA-related post-marketing commitments for approved products (KRYSTEXXA post-approval). These costs mainly include pre-clinical and clinical studies and trials, personnel costs including compensation, consultants and contract research organizations, or CROs, quality control and assurance costs, regulatory costs and costs related to the development of commercial scale manufacturing capabilities for KRYSTEXXA, which also includes the costs of preparing Fujifilm to serve as its secondary source supplier of pegloticase drug substance for KRYSTEXXA in the United States. As of March 7, 2013, the company owned 14 issued U.S. patents and 154 issued foreign patents. It currently owns U.S. and several foreign registrations or applicat

Savient Pharmaceuticals (FRA:BY7) Headlines

No Headlines