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Savient Pharmaceuticals (FRA:BY7) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : -170.50% (As of Sep. 2013)


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What is Savient Pharmaceuticals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Savient Pharmaceuticals's forward rate of return for was -170.50%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Savient Pharmaceuticals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:BY7's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Biotechnology industry.
Industry Median: 10.725
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Savient Pharmaceuticals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Savient Pharmaceuticals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Savient Pharmaceuticals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Savient Pharmaceuticals Annual Data
Trend Dec03 Dec04 Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -7.53 -4.07 -6.57 -37.17 -111.00

Savient Pharmaceuticals Quarterly Data
Mar09 Jun09 Sep09 Dec09 Mar10 Jun10 Sep10 Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Mar14
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -111.00 -148.14 -204.92 -170.50 -16,473.13

Competitive Comparison of Savient Pharmaceuticals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Savient Pharmaceuticals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Savient Pharmaceuticals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Savient Pharmaceuticals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Savient Pharmaceuticals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Savient Pharmaceuticals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Savient Pharmaceuticals's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2013 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.15028571/0+0.1374
=0 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Savient Pharmaceuticals  (FRA:BY7) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Savient Pharmaceuticals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Savient Pharmaceuticals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Savient Pharmaceuticals (FRA:BY7) Business Description

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Savient Pharmaceuticals, Inc., was founded in 1980. It develops, manufactures and markets products through the application of genetic engineering and related biotechnologies. The Company, and its wholly-owned Subsidiaries, is a specialty biopharmaceutical company focused on commercializing KRYSTEXXA (pegloticase) in the United States and completing the development and seeking regulatory approval outside of the United States for KRYSTEXXA, particularly in the European Union. It completed a promotional launch of KRYSTEXXA in the United States during the first quarter of 2011 with its sales force commencing field promotion to health care providers on February 28, 2011. The Company also sells and distributes branded and generic versions of oxandrolone, a drug used to promote weight gain following involuntary weight loss. The Company launched its authorized generic version of oxandrolone in December 2006 in response to the approval and launch of generic competition to Oxandrin. On January 1, 2012, KRYSTEXXA received a permanent J Code, which facilitates reimbursement to providers who treat patients suffering with RCG and who rely on Medicare and Medicaid. The manufacturing process for pegloticase, which is the drug substance of KRYSTEXXA, consists of the production through a recombinant process in which a genetically-engineered bacteria produces uricase, followed by its purification, PEGylation, further purification and formulation to produce the bulk pegloticase, which the company refers it as pegloticase drug substance. Pegloticase is aseptically filtered and filled into sterile, single dose vials to produce the KRYSTEXXA drug product. Its sales force targets rheumatologists and nephrologists with access to infusion centers and healthcare institutions, each of which treat adult patients suffering from RCG, as well as podiatrists who also treat patients with RCG. In March 2012, KRYSTEXXA was made available in the EU to healthcare professionals through a Named Patient Program. The Company sells its products to three drug wholesaler customers and various specialty distributors. Its research and development includes costs associated with the research and development of its KRYSTEXXA product prior to FDA approval and FDA-related post-marketing commitments for approved products (KRYSTEXXA post-approval). These costs mainly include pre-clinical and clinical studies and trials, personnel costs including compensation, consultants and contract research organizations, or CROs, quality control and assurance costs, regulatory costs and costs related to the development of commercial scale manufacturing capabilities for KRYSTEXXA, which also includes the costs of preparing Fujifilm to serve as its secondary source supplier of pegloticase drug substance for KRYSTEXXA in the United States. As of March 7, 2013, the company owned 14 issued U.S. patents and 154 issued foreign patents. It currently owns U.S. and several foreign registrations or applicat

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