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Microwave Filter Co (Microwave Filter Co) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $0.83 (As of Jun19)


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What is Microwave Filter Co Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Jun19, Microwave Filter Co's earnings power value is $0.83. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Microwave Filter Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Microwave Filter Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Microwave Filter Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Microwave Filter Co Annual Data
Trend Sep09 Sep10 Sep11 Sep12 Sep13 Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.15 0.05 0.14 0.17 0.89

Microwave Filter Co Quarterly Data
Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.37 0.89 0.91 0.97 0.83

Competitive Comparison of Microwave Filter Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, Microwave Filter Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Microwave Filter Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Microwave Filter Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Microwave Filter Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Microwave Filter Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Microwave Filter Co's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 3.44
DDA 0.09
Operating Margin % -3.07
SGA * 25% 0.35
Tax Rate % -0.03
Maintenance Capex 0.07
Cash and Cash Equivalents 0.54
Short-Term Debt 0.05
Long-Term Debt 0.18
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 2.58

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -3.07%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $3.44 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -3.07%, Average Adjusted SGA = 0.35,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 3.44 * -3.07% +0.35 = $0.240174896 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -0.03%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $0.240174896 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 0.240174896 * ( 1 - -0.03% ) = $0.24024935021776 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.09 * 0.5 * -0.03% = $-1.3361E-5 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0.24024935021776 + -1.3361E-5 = $0.24023598921776 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Microwave Filter Co's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.07 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Microwave Filter Co's current cash and cash equivalent = $0.54 Mil.
Microwave Filter Co's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.18 + 0.05 = $0.232 Mil.
Microwave Filter Co's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 2.58 Mil.

Microwave Filter Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jun19 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0.24023598921776 - 0.07)/ 9%+0.54-0.232 )/2.58
=0.83

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 0.83441467070682-0.47 )/0.83441467070682
= 43.67%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Microwave Filter Co  (OTCPK:MFCO) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Microwave Filter Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Microwave Filter Co (Microwave Filter Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
6743 Kinne Street, East Syracuse, Syracuse, NY, USA, 13057
Microwave Filter Co Inc operates in the United States and principally in one Industry. The Company extends credit to business customers, including original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), distributors and other end users, based upon ongoing credit evaluations. MFC designs, develops, manufactures and sells electronic filters, both for radio and microwave frequencies, to help process signal distribution and to prevent unwanted signals from disrupting transmit or receive operations. Markets served include 5G, cable television, television and radio broadcast, satellite broadcast, mobile radio and commercial and defense electronics.
Executives
Hummingbird Value Fund Lp other: See explanation of responses 145 E. 57TH STREET, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Hummingbird Management Llc other: See explanation of responses 145 E. 57TH STREET, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Paul D Sonkin other: See explanation of responses 145 E. 57TH STREET, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Hummingbird Capital Llc other: See explanation of responses 145 E. 57TH STREET, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Tarsier Nanocap Value Fund, Lp other: See explanation of responses C/O HUMMINGBIRD MANAGEMENT, LLC, 145 E. 57TH STREET, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Christopher N Argyrople 10 percent owner 50 MILK STREET, 21ST FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02109

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