GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Asure Software Inc (NAS:ASUR) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

ASUR (Asure Software) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.07% (As of Dec. 12, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1993. Start your Free Trial

What is Asure Software Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Asure Software's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Asure Software's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Application subindustry, Asure Software's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Asure Software's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Asure Software's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Asure Software's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Asure Software Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.27

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.07%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Asure Software  (NAS:ASUR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Asure Software Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Asure Software's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Asure Software Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Asure Software Inc (NAS:ASUR) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
405 Colorado Street, Suite 1800, Austin, TX, USA, 78701
Asure Software Inc is a provider of cloud-based Human Capital Management (HCM) solutions delivered as Software-as-a-Service (SaaS). It facilitates small and mid-sized businesses (SMBs) to develop their Human Capital to get to the next level, stay compliant, and allocate their time, money and technology toward growth. The company's HCM suite, named AsureHCM, includes cloud-based Payroll and Tax, HR, a Time and Attendance software. Its HR services range from HR projects to outsourcing payroll to HR consulting services. The firm sells its HCM products majorly in the United States.
Executives
Daniel M Gill director 1560 SHERMAN AVENUE, SUITE 1200, EVANSTON IL 60201
Eyal Goldstein officer: Chief Revenue Officer 18154 SWEET ELM DRIVE, ENCINO CA 91316
Patrick Goepel director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 7050 WINNETKA AVE N, SUITE 100, BROOKLYN PARK MN 55428
Bradford Scovill Oberwager director 340 S. LEMON AVE. #5445, WALNUT CA 91789
Bjorn Reynolds director 108 WILD BASIN RD. S., SUITE 200, AUSTIN TX 78746
Ben F Allen director C/O ASURE SOFTWARE, INC., 3700 N. CAPITAL OF TEXAS HWY. #350, AUSTIN TX 78746
Grace G. Lee director C/O CUBIC CORPORATION, 9333 BALBOA AVENUE, SAN DIEGO CA 92123
William Carl Drew director 3700 N CAPITAL OF TEXAS HWY, SUITE 350, AUSTIN TX 78746
John F Pence officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ASURE SOFTWARE, INC., 3700 N. CAPITAL OF TEXAS HWY. #350, AUSTIN TX 78746
James Powers officer: Chief Financial Officer 2128 W. BRAKER LANE, BK12, AUSTIN TX 78758
Red Oak Partners, Llc director 95 S. FEDERAL HWY, SUITE 201, BOCA RATON FL 33432
Kelyn Brannon officer: Chief Financial Officer 300 E. RIVERSIDE DRIVE, APT. 527, AUSTIN TX 78704
Lathrop Charles W Jr director 3700 N CAPITAL OF TEXAS HWY, #350, AUSTIN TX 78746
John Randall Waterfield director 140 BROADWAY, 46TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10005
David Sandberg director 40 SE 5TH STREET, SUITE 502, BOCA RATON FL 33432