Clime Investment Management (ASX:CIW) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04% (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


ASX:CIW Clime Investment Management Ltd ASX:CIW
36 GF Score
Price A$0.30
GF Value A$0.35
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Clime Investment Management Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Clime Investment Management ASX:CIW 36 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:CIW with a GF Score™ of 36/100 and a GF Value™ of A$0.35 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Clime Investment Management's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Clime Investment Management  (ASX:CIW) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Clime Investment Management Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

ASX:CIW vs BLK, BX, KKR: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Asset Management subindustry, Clime Investment Management's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Clime Investment Management Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Clime Investment Management's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Clime Investment Management's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


ASX:CIW
36GF Score
Clime Investment Management Ltd ASX:CIW
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Clime Investment Management Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.88

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=(Balance Sheet Cash And Cash Equivalents + Money Market Investments) / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% mean?
Clime Investment Management (ASX:CIW) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% as of Jun. 25, 2026.
Is Clime Investment Management's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Clime Investment Management's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Overall, Clime Investment Management has a GF Score™ of 36/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Clime Investment Management's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to BLK and BX?
Clime Investment Management's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% can be compared against companies in the Asset Management industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Asset Management company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Asset Management industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Clime Investment Management's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Clime Investment Management stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Clime Investment Management (ASX:CIW) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$0.35, compared to a current price of A$0.30 — trading 14.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Clime Investment Management's overall GF Score™ is 36/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Clime Investment Management (ASX:CIW), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Clime Investment Management (ASX:CIW) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Clime Investment Management stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of A$0.30 is trading 14.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of A$0.35. GuruFocus considers Clime Investment Management to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:CIW:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04%
  • GF Value™: A$0.35 vs. price of A$0.30 (14.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 36/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:CIW stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Clime Investment Management Business Description

Address 20 Hunter Street, Level 12, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2000
Clime Investment Management Ltd is engaged in providing integrated wealth solutions to clients by operating under the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) granted Australian Financial Services Licenses (AFSLs). The Group engages in various activities such as; providing private wealth advisory services; providing licensee services to financial advisers; offering online equity research and valuation tools to investors; and acting as investment manager for various funds. The company's reportable segments are; Fund Management; Advice; and Corporate Centre. A majority of its revenue is generated from the Investment Management segment. Geographically, the company operates only in Australia.
36GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:CIW

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$0.30
Price
A$0.35
GF Value