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Biohaven (NYSE:BHVN) Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 50.00% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Biohaven's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Biohaven (NYSE:BHVN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Competitive Comparison

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Biohaven's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Biohaven (NYSE:BHVN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Biohaven's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Biohaven's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Biohaven Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Biohaven  (NYSE:BHVN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Biohaven Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Biohaven (NYSE:BHVN) Business Description

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GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Biohaven Ltd (NYSE:BHVN) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
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Biohaven Ltd is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company with a portfolio of innovative therapies to improve the lives of patients with debilitating neurological and neuropsychiatric diseases, including rare disorders. Biohaven's Neuroinnovation portfolio includes FDA-approved Nurtec ODT (rimegepant) for the acute and preventive treatment of migraine (EMA-approved as Vydura (rimegepant) for the acute treatment of migraine with or without aura, and prophylaxis of episodic migraine.
Executives
Robert J Hugin director C/O THE MEDICINES CO 8 CAMPUS DR PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Michael Thomas Heffernan director C/O CORNERSTONE THERAPEUTICS INC. 1255 CRESCENT GREEN DRIVE, SUITE 250 CARY NC 27518
Julia P Gregory director 8800 TECHNOLOGY FOREST PLACE THE WOODLANDS TX 77381
Gregory Bailey director 4 A CHESHAM STREET LONDON X0 SW1X8DT
Kimberly Gentile officer: SVP, Clinical Operations C/O BIOHAVEN PHARMACEUTICAL HOLDING COMP 234 CHURCH STREET NEW HAVEN CT 06510
John W Childs director 111 HUNTINGTON AVENUE SUITE 2900 BOSTON MA 02199
Vlad Coric director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O BIOHAVEN PHARMACEUTICAL HOLDING COMP 234 CHURCH STREET NEW HAVEN CT 06510
Irina Antonijevic director 215 CHURCH STREET NEW HAVEN CT 06510
Matthew Buten officer: Chief Financial Officer 215 CHURCH STREET NEW HAVEN CT 06510
Kishan Mehta director 540 WEST 49TH STREET UNIT# PH1N NEW YORK NY 10019
Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co Ltd. 10 percent owner 215 CHURCH STREET NEW HAVEN CT 06510
Bruce Car officer: Chief Scientific Officer AGIOS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC. 88 SIDNEY STREET CAMBRIDGE MA 02139

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