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Brookdale Senior Living (Brookdale Senior Living) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.09% (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is Brookdale Senior Living Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Brookdale Senior Living's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.09%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Brookdale Senior Living's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Brookdale Senior Living's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Brookdale Senior Living's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Brookdale Senior Living's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Brookdale Senior Living's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Brookdale Senior Living Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.99

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.09%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Brookdale Senior Living  (NYSE:BKD) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Brookdale Senior Living Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Brookdale Senior Living (Brookdale Senior Living) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
111 Westwood Place, Suite 400, Brentwood, TN, USA, 37027
Brookdale operates senior living communities throughout the United States. Private pay customers contribute the majority of its resident fees. Brookdale's retirement centers are targeted toward middle- to upper-income seniors, typically over the age of 75. It provides basic services, like meals and housekeeping, and supplemental-care services to assist residents with daily activities. Brookdale's assisted living communities offer 24-hour assistance with daily activities and include memory-care communities that are specifically designed for residents with Alzheimer's disease or other dementia. Its continuing-care retirement centers are large communities that accommodate all levels of physical ability and health. The majority of the firm's revenue comes from assisted living resident fees.
Executives
Marcus E Bromley director
Jordan R Asher director C/O BROOKDALE SENIOR LIVING INC., 111 WESTWOOD PLACE, SUITE 400, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Benjamin J. Ricci officer: Division Vice President 111 WESTWOOD PLACE, SUITE 400, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Laura E. Fischer officer: Division Vice President 111 WESTWOOD PLACE, SUITE 400, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Frank M Bumstead director 2300 CHARLOTTE AVENUE, STE 103, NASHVILLE TN 37203
Jaclyn C Pritchett officer: EVP - Human Resources 111 WESTWOOD PLACE, SUITE 400, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Lucinda M Baier officer: Chief Financial Officer 111 WESTWOOD PLACE, SUITE 400, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
George T Hicks officer: Executive Vice President BROOKDALE SENIOR LIVING INC., 111 WESTWOOD PLACE, SUITE 400, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Kevin W Bowman officer: EVP-Community Operations 111 WESTWOOD PLACE, SUITE 400, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Rita Johnson-mills director C/O BROOKDALE SENIOR LIVING INC., 111 WESTWOOD PLACE, SUITE 400, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Lee S Wielansky director PAUL HASTINGS, 75 EAST 55TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022
Denise Wilder Warren director 6600 WALL STREET, MOBILE AL 36695
Cindy Kent officer: EVP & President Senior Housing 7601 PENN AVENUE SOUTH, RICHFIELD MN 55418
Vicki L Freed director 6262 SUNSET DRIVE, MIAMI FL 33143
Guy P Sansone director C/O MEDNAX, 1301 CONCORD TERRACE, SUNRISE FL 33323