Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.
Brookdale Senior LivingBKD -0.61%45 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -5.59% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus rates BKD with a GF Score™ of 45/100 and a GF Value™ of $6.18 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 339 Healthcare Providers & Services companies, Brookdale Senior Living ranks worse than 84.96% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Brookdale Senior Living's forward rate of return for was -5.59%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Brookdale Senior Living's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
BKD'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -21.25 Med: -10.54 Max: 4.57
Current: -6.97
During the past 13 years, Brookdale Senior Living's highest Forward Rate of Return was 4.57. The lowest was -21.25. And the median was -10.54.
BKD's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than 84.96% of 339
companies
in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry
Industry Median: 12.54
vs BKD: -6.97
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Brookdale Senior Living (NYSE:BKD) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Brookdale Senior Living Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Brookdale Senior Living Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Brookdale Senior Living's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Brookdale Senior Living Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
BKD vs AVAH, ACHC, GRDN: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Brookdale Senior Living's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Brookdale Senior Living Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Healthcare Providers & Services Industry
For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Brookdale Senior Living's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Brookdale Senior Living's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Brookdale Senior Living Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of -5.59% mean?
Brookdale Senior Living (BKD) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of -5.59% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Brookdale Senior Living and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Brookdale Senior Living ranks #288 out of 339 companies in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, placing it in the top 85%.
Is Brookdale Senior Living's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Brookdale Senior Living's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -5.59%. Based on the distribution chart, Brookdale Senior Living ranks #288 out of 339 companies in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Brookdale Senior Living has a GF Score™ of 45/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Brookdale Senior Living's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to AVAH and ACHC?
According to the Healthcare Providers & Services industry distribution chart, Brookdale Senior Living ranks #288 out of 339 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Brookdale Senior Living in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.54. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Healthcare Providers & Services company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Healthcare Providers & Services companies is 12.54, based on 339 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Brookdale Senior Living and its competitors. For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.54 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Brookdale Senior Living's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -5.59%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Brookdale Senior Living stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Brookdale Senior Living (BKD) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $6.18, compared to a current price of $11.38 — trading 84.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -5.59%. Brookdale Senior Living's overall GF Score™ is 45/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Brookdale Senior Living (BKD), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -5.59% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Brookdale Senior Living (BKD) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Brookdale Senior Living stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $11.38 is trading 84.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of $6.18.
GuruFocus considers Brookdale Senior Living to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for BKD:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: -5.59%
GF Value™: $6.18 vs. price of $11.38 (84.1% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the BKD stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Brookdale Senior Living Inc operates senior living communities throughout the United States. The company has three reportable segments: Independent Living, Assisted Living and Memory Care, and Continuing Care Retirement Communities (CCRs). The majority of the revenue is generated from the Assisted Living and Memory Care segment, which offers housing and assistance with activities of daily living to its customers. The company generates revenue in the form of Resident Fees, which it receives in exchange for the services provided, and in the form of management fees from certain communities under contract in exchange for the management services provided.
45GF Score
Get the complete analysis for BKD
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
BKD has been successfully added to your 
