PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL (BKK:PMTA) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01% (As of Jul. 17, 2026)

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BKK:PMTA PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL BKK:PMTA
66 GF Score
Price ฿9.60
GF Value ฿8.31
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL BKK:PMTA 66 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jul. 17, 2026. GuruFocus rates BKK:PMTA with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of ฿8.31 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL  (BKK:PMTA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


BKK:PMTA vs CTVA, CF, MOS: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


BKK:PMTA
66GF Score
PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL BKK:PMTA
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.89

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% mean?
PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL (BKK:PMTA) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% as of Jul. 17, 2026.
Is PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Overall, PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to CTVA and CF?
PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% can be compared against companies in the Agriculture industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Agriculture company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Agriculture industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL (BKK:PMTA) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ฿8.31, compared to a current price of ฿9.60 — trading 15.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL (BKK:PMTA), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jul. 17, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL (BKK:PMTA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ฿9.60 is trading 15.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of ฿8.31. GuruFocus considers PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BKK:PMTA:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01%
  • GF Value™: ฿8.31 vs. price of ฿9.60 (15.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BKK:PMTA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL Business Description

Address Soi Chidlom, Ploenchit Road, 26/26-27 Orakarn Building, 8th Floor, Lumpinee, Pathumwan, Bangkok, THA, 10330
PM Thoresen Asia Holdings PCL along with its subsidiaries is engaged in the manufacturing of nitrogen-phosphorus-potassium (NPK) synthesized chemical and micro-element fertilizers, distribution of new seeds and agricultural materials, as well as manufacture, import, and export of plant protection chemicals and macronutrient products. It has two products segments: Manufacture of Fertilizer and crop care products and Factory area management services. The company earns majority of its revenue through the manufacture of fertilizer and crop care products. It has a business presence in Vietnam and other countries.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BKK:PMTA

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

฿9.60
Price
฿8.31
GF Value