Sampre Nutritions (BOM:530617) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.29% (As of Aug. 03, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

BOM:530617 Sampre Nutritions Ltd BOM:530617
51 GF Score
Price ₹4.92
GF Value ₹7.92
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Sampre Nutritions Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Sampre Nutritions BOM:530617 -4.84% 51 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.29% as of Aug. 03, 2026. GuruFocus rates BOM:530617 with a GF Score™ of 51/100 and a GF Value™ of ₹7.92 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Sampre Nutritions's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.29%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Sampre Nutritions  (BOM:530617) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Sampre Nutritions Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


BOM:530617 vs MDLZ, HSY, TR: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Confectioners subindustry, Sampre Nutritions's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sampre Nutritions Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Sampre Nutritions's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sampre Nutritions's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


BOM:530617
51GF Score
Sampre Nutritions Ltd BOM:530617
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Sampre Nutritions Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.85

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.29%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.29% mean?
Sampre Nutritions (BOM:530617) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.29% as of Aug. 03, 2026.
Is Sampre Nutritions' Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Sampre Nutritions' current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.29%. Overall, Sampre Nutritions has a GF Score™ of 51/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Sampre Nutritions' Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to MDLZ and HSY?
Sampre Nutritions' Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.29% can be compared against companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Sampre Nutritions's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.29%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Sampre Nutritions stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Sampre Nutritions (BOM:530617) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is ₹7.92, compared to a current price of ₹4.92 — trading 37.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.29%. Sampre Nutritions' overall GF Score™ is 51/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Sampre Nutritions (BOM:530617), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.29% as of Aug. 03, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Sampre Nutritions (BOM:530617) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Sampre Nutritions stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ₹4.92 is trading 37.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of ₹7.92. GuruFocus considers Sampre Nutritions to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for BOM:530617:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.29%
  • GF Value™: ₹7.92 vs. price of ₹4.92 (37.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 51/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BOM:530617 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Sampre Nutritions Business Description

Address Plot No. 133, Industrial Estate, Medchal, Hyderabad, TG, IND, 501 401
Sampre Nutritions Ltd is engaged in manufacturing of confectionaries. The company is engaged in manufacturing complete range of confectionery, eclairs, candies, toffees, powder and centre filled products. The company caters to the demands of majority of the MNC's besides having their own brand of products. Sampre Nutrition is an ISO certified company in Southeast Asia in this category and is also HACCP Certified Company by BVQI and FSSA certified company. Maximum of company's revenue is from India.
51GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BOM:530617

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₹4.92
Price
₹7.92
GF Value