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Lavvi Empreendimentos Imobiliarios (BSP:LAVV3) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.01% (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is Lavvi Empreendimentos Imobiliarios Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Lavvi Empreendimentos Imobiliarios's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Lavvi Empreendimentos Imobiliarios's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Lavvi Empreendimentos Imobiliarios's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lavvi Empreendimentos Imobiliarios's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Lavvi Empreendimentos Imobiliarios's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lavvi Empreendimentos Imobiliarios's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Lavvi Empreendimentos Imobiliarios Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.92

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Lavvi Empreendimentos Imobiliarios  (BSP:LAVV3) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Lavvi Empreendimentos Imobiliarios Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Lavvi Empreendimentos Imobiliarios (BSP:LAVV3) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Avenida Angelica, no 2.346, 8th Floor, Conj. 84, Consolacao, Sao Paulo, SP, BRA, CEP 01228-200
Lavvi Empreendimentos Imobiliarios SA is engaged in purchase and sale of finished properties or the build, residential and commercial, ideal land and fractions, the lease and management of real estate; the construction of real estate; the rental of own or third party properties; the break up or allotment of own land; planning, promotion, development under real estate development, the sale and purchase of housing and / or commercial units; the provision of services in matters relating to the real estate market.

Lavvi Empreendimentos Imobiliarios (BSP:LAVV3) Headlines

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